Future nuclear perspectives based on MESSAGE integrated assessment modeling

Rogner ML & Riahi K (2013). Future nuclear perspectives based on MESSAGE integrated assessment modeling. Energy Strategy Reviews 1 (4): 223-232. DOI:10.1016/j.esr.2013.02.006.

Full text not available from this repository.

Abstract

Nuclear energy has the potential to be a vital component toward a clean energy strategy - but future energy systems may or may not include nuclear power. This study explores a range of future nuclear pathways consistent with different levels of energy demand, and explicitly assesses the implications of a potential global nuclear energy phase-out. In our scenarios the mitigation of climate change is one of the main factors driving a much needed transformation of the global energy system. A range of climate change mitigation scenarios is outlined and compared to a business-as-usual case. The scenarios are characteristic of different approaches to climate mitigation, including alternative combinations of supply and demand-side changes. Our analysis indicates that under a comprehensive and global mitigation effort, the stabilization of GHG concentrations at low levels (450 ppm CO2) would be technically achievable even at high energy demand and with a nuclear phase-out. We identify that significant investments in energy efficiency improvements and demand reduction offer the most flexibility in energy supply options and may or may not include nuclear power.

Item Type: Article
Uncontrolled Keywords: Energy scenarios; MESSAGE model; Nuclear energy; Global energy assessment
Research Programs: Energy (ENE)
Transitions to New Technologies (TNT)
Bibliographic Reference: Energy Strategy Reviews; 1(4):223-232 (May 2013) (Published online 5 March 2013)
Depositing User: IIASA Import
Date Deposited: 15 Jan 2016 08:49
Last Modified: 23 Feb 2016 10:40
URI: http://pure.iiasa.ac.at/10479

Actions (login required)

View Item View Item

International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis (IIASA)
Schlossplatz 1, A-2361 Laxenburg, Austria
Phone: (+43 2236) 807 0 Fax:(+43 2236) 71 313