LEG risk assessments: experts disagree

Kunreuther HC, Linnerooth-Bayer J, Lathrop J, Atz H, Macgill S, Mandl C, Schwarz M, & Thompson M (1983). LEG risk assessments: experts disagree. In: Risk Analysis and Decision Processes. The Siting of Liquefied Energy Gas Facilities in Four Countries. pp. 148-177 Berlin/Heidelberg, Germany: Springer. ISBN 978-3-642-82128-8 DOI:10.1007/978-3-642-82128-8_7.

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Abstract

One of the most challenging problems in decisions concerning the deployment of novel, large-scale technologies is the assessment of the risk to the surrounding populations. In particular cases, such as nuclear reactors or liquefied energy gas (LEG) facilities, the political process involved may tend to focus on one particular form of that risk: the risk to life from catastrophic accidents. This chapter examines several assessments of this type with two main goals in mind:

(1) to present and compare the various risk assessment procedures as they have been applied to LEG terminal siting, and in so doing to clarify the limits of knowledge and understanding of LEG risks

(2) to quantify and compare the risks estimated in analyses prepared for four LEG sites, namely:

Wilhelmshaven (Brötz 1978; DGWE 1979; Krappinger 1978a,b,c; WSB 1978)
- Eemshaven (TNO 1978)
- Mossmorran—Braefoot Bay (Aberdour and Dalgety Bay Joint Action Group 1979, henceforth referred to as Aberdour; Cremer and Warner 1977; HSE 1978a)
- Point Conception (ADL 1978; FERC 1978; SAI 1976)

Item Type: Book Section
Depositing User: Romeo Molina
Date Deposited: 25 Feb 2016 11:53
Last Modified: 26 Feb 2016 11:04
URI: http://pure.iiasa.ac.at/12050

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