What difference do alternative immigration and integration levels make to Western Europe?

Lutz W & Prinz C (1992). What difference do alternative immigration and integration levels make to Western Europe? European Journal of Population 8 (4): 341-361. DOI:10.1007/BF01796626.

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Abstract

The population of Western Europe (EC plus EFTA) is seen as consisting of three sub-populations: the natives, the East-European immigrants, and the non-European immigrants. Different immigration levels assumed add to the non-native populations while different levels of "integration" describe the transition intensities from a non-native to a native category. Alternative multi-state population projections to 2050 based on six scenarios show that (1) in the case of no further immigration the total population of Western Europe will start to decline after 2010; (2) the rate of integration influences the future size of the non-European population much more than alternative levels of immigration; (3) in the long run the Eastern Europeans will be quantitatively insignificant; (4) the Western European population is bound to significant population aging no matter what happens with immigration; and (5) in the short to medium run immigrants contribute to the alleviation of the pension burden.

Item Type: Article
Research Programs: World Population (POP)
Depositing User: Romeo Molina
Date Deposited: 21 Apr 2016 12:59
Last Modified: 21 Apr 2016 13:18
URI: http://pure.iiasa.ac.at/12866

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