Scenario development and multi-criteria analysis for Morocco’s future electricity system in 2050. Summary of workshop results

Berg M, Bohm S, Fink T, Hauser M, Komendantova N, & Soukup O (2016). Scenario development and multi-criteria analysis for Morocco’s future electricity system in 2050. Summary of workshop results. In: Elaboration et évaluation des différents scénarios du mix électrique futur du Maroc, 23-24 May 2016, Rabat, Morocco.

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Abstract

In the scope of the MENA SELECT research project, a workshop was conducted in Rabat, Morocco, from 23 to 24 May 2016. During the workshop, stakeholders from different national societal groups discussed and developed future settings of Morocco’s power supply with the help of an advanced spreadsheet model, accompanied by an evaluation of the developed scenarios. In this paper, the results of the workshop are summarized.
In the first part of the workshop, the participants were introduced to the modeling approach. Central input parameters, procedures and assumptions were presented. This formed the basis for the subsequent development of scenarios on Morocco’s power supply until 2050. With the help of the spreadsheet model, four consistent scenarios were developed, reaching renewable energy shares ranging from approximately 60 to 100 per cent.
In the second part of the workshop, the workshop participants weighted the developed scenarios. For this purpose a multi-criteria analysis was conducted, which included quantitative and qualitative criteria for fossil fuels and renewable energy technologies. The participants weighted the selected criteria against each other according to the preferences of the respective institutions they represented. In combination with the criteria performance for each technology a ranking of the developed electricity scenarios took place resulting in the fact that the workshop participants would accept the scenario with the highest share of renewable energies in 2050 most. The workshop successfully illustrated that it was possible to develop options of Morocco’s future power supply by combining technical and economic parameters that were acceptable to the workshop participants.

Item Type: Conference or Workshop Item (Paper)
Research Programs: Risk & Resilience (RISK)
Depositing User: Romeo Molina
Date Deposited: 14 Sep 2016 10:03
Last Modified: 14 Jun 2017 14:17
URI: http://pure.iiasa.ac.at/13793

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