Quantifying Economic Dependency

Loichinger E, Hammer B, Prskawetz A, Freiberger M, & Sambt J (2017). Quantifying Economic Dependency. European Journal of Population 33 (3): 351–-380. DOI:10.1007/s10680-016-9405-1.

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Project: Welfare, Wealth and Work for Europe (WWWFOREUROPE, FP7 290647), Ageing Europe: An application of National Transfer Accounts (NTA) for explaining and projecting trends in public (AGENTA, FP7 613247)

Abstract

In this paper we compare several types of economic dependency ratios for a selection of European countries. These dependency ratios take into account not only the demographic structure of the population, but also the differences in age-specific economic behaviour such as labour market activity, income and consumption as well as age-specific public transfers. In selected simulations where we combine patterns of age-specific economic behaviour and transfers with population projections, we show that in all countries population ageing would lead to a pronounced increase in dependency ratios if present age-specific patterns were not to change. Our analysis of cross-country differences in economic dependency demonstrates that these differences are driven by both differences in age-specific economic behaviour and in the age composition of the populations. The choice of which dependency ratio to use in a specific policy context is determined by the nature of the question to be answered. The comparison of our various dependency ratios across countries gives insights into which strategies might be effective in mitigating the expected increase in economic dependency due to demographic change.

Item Type: Article
Uncontrolled Keywords: Population ageing; National Transfer Accounts (NTA); Economic dependency ratio; Age-specific consumption; Age-specific labour income
Research Programs: World Population (POP)
Depositing User: Romeo Molina
Date Deposited: 31 Jan 2017 13:53
Last Modified: 03 Jul 2017 14:43
URI: http://pure.iiasa.ac.at/14350

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