An Evaluable Theory for a Class of Migration Problems

Haag G & Weidlich W (1983). An Evaluable Theory for a Class of Migration Problems. IIASA Collaborative Paper. IIASA, Laxenburg, Austria: CP-83-058

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Abstract

A master equation formulation for a class of migration problems describing the spatio-temporal dynamics of a system of regions is introduced. The transition probabilities are functions of trend parameters, which characterize preferences, growth pool and saturation effects. The trend parameters can be determined by regression analysis from the empirical migration matrix. The solution of meanvalue equations yields a nonlinear migration prognosis. The relation between trend parameters and motivation factors, e.g., income per capita, infrastructure and transportation costs, is also discussed. Numerical simulations illustrate the influence of the superposition of migration trends on the evolution of the system.

Item Type: Monograph (IIASA Collaborative Paper)
Research Programs: Regional Issues Program (RUD)
Depositing User: IIASA Import
Date Deposited: 15 Jan 2016 01:53
Last Modified: 18 Nov 2016 18:37
URI: http://pure.iiasa.ac.at/2324

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