Parametrized Multistate Population Projections

Rogers A & Planck F (1984). Parametrized Multistate Population Projections. IIASA Collaborative Paper. IIASA, Laxenburg, Austria: CP-84-035

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Abstract

This paper reports progress on the development of a population projection process that emphasizes model selection over demographic accounting. Transparent multiregional/multistate population projections that rely on parametrized model schedules are illustrated, together with simple techniques that extrapolate the recent trends exhibited by the parameters of such schedules. The parametrized schedules condense the amount of demographic information, expressing it in a language and variables that are more readily understood by the users of the projections. In addition, they permit a concise specification of the expected temporal patterns of variation among these variables, and they allow a disaggregated focus on demographic change that otherwise would not be feasible.

Item Type: Monograph (IIASA Collaborative Paper)
Research Programs: World Population (POP)
Depositing User: IIASA Import
Date Deposited: 15 Jan 2016 01:55
Last Modified: 20 Jul 2016 16:13
URI: http://pure.iiasa.ac.at/2542

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