Scenarios of Socioeconomic Development for Studies of Global Environmental Change: A Critical Review

Toth FL, Hizsnyik E, & Clark WC (1989). Scenarios of Socioeconomic Development for Studies of Global Environmental Change: A Critical Review. IIASA Research Report. IIASA, Laxenburg, Austria: RR-89-004

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Abstract

This study (1) critically reviews existing studies of global trends in population, agriculture, and energy with a view toward showing which studies are most useful for which sorts of studies of global environmental change and sustainable development. (2) Synthesizes a single, internally consistent scenario of global changes in population, agriculture, and energy over the next century for use as a "conventional wisdom" reference case for such studies. (3) Creates a number of "surprise-rich" scenarios of world development for use in exploring unconventional, but not impossible, patterns of human activities that might be useful for exploring the outer limits of global environmental change.

Item Type: Monograph (IIASA Research Report)
Research Programs: Biosphere Dynamics (BIO)
Young Scientists Summer Program (YSSP)
Depositing User: IIASA Import
Date Deposited: 15 Jan 2016 01:59
Last Modified: 04 Nov 2016 13:10
URI: http://pure.iiasa.ac.at/3224

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