Uncertainties of a regional terrestrial biota full carbon account: A systems analysis

Nilsson S, Shvidenko A, Jonas M, McCallum I, Thomson A, & Balzter H (2007). Uncertainties of a regional terrestrial biota full carbon account: A systems analysis. Water, Air, & Soil Pollution: Focus DOI:10.1007/s11267-006-9119-1.

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Abstract

We discuss the background and methods for estimating uncertainty in a holistic manner in a regional terrestrial biota Full Carbon Account (FCA) using our experience in generating such an account for vast regions in northern Eurasia (at national and macroregional levels). For such an analysis, it is important to (1) provide a 'full' account; (2) consider the relevance of a 'verified' account, bearing in mind further transition to a 'certified' account; (3) understand that any FCA is a fuzzy system; and (4) understand that a comprehensive assessment of uncertainties requires multiple harmonizing and combining of system constraints from results obtained by different methods. An important result of this analysis is the conclusion that only a relevant integration of inventory, process-based models, and measurements in situ generate sufficient prerequisites for a verified FCA. We show that the use of integrated methodology, at the current level of knowledge, and the system combination of available information, allow a verified FCA for large regions of the northern hemisphere to be made for current periods and for the recent past.

Item Type: Article
Uncontrolled Keywords: terrestrial biota, regional full greenhouse, account, uncertainty, verification, certification, Northern Eurasia
Research Programs: Forestry (FOR)
Bibliographic Reference: Water, Air, & Soil Pollution: Focus; 7(4-5):425-441 [2007]
Depositing User: IIASA Import
Date Deposited: 15 Jan 2016 08:39
Last Modified: 25 Feb 2016 09:40
URI: http://pure.iiasa.ac.at/8211

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