Uncertain demographic dynamics in China

Qiang R, Zheng X-Y, Lutz W, & Scherbov S (2008). Uncertain demographic dynamics in China. Chinese Journal of Population Science 6: 19-27.

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Abstract

The paper systematically observes the changes of main demographic indices such as fertility,sex ratio at birth and age structure based on the 2000 census,and examines the uncertainty of China’s future population trends with the method of probable population prediction.The result indicates that there are large variations among estimates of China’s current fertility rates,sex ratios at birth,and the numbers of youth,which directly affect the uncertainty of China’s current and future population.The uncertainties of future population caused by current population conditions are valuable information to the public.

Item Type: Article
Research Programs: World Population (POP)
Bibliographic Reference: Chinese Journal of Population Science; 6:19-27 (2008)
Related URLs:
Depositing User: IIASA Import
Date Deposited: 15 Jan 2016 08:40
Last Modified: 20 Sep 2016 12:45
URI: http://pure.iiasa.ac.at/8476

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