Long-term performance targets for nuclear energy. Part 2: Markets and learning rates

Rogner H-H, McDonald A, & Riahi K (2008). Long-term performance targets for nuclear energy. Part 2: Markets and learning rates. International Journal of Global Energy Issues 30 (1): 77-101. DOI:10.1504/IJGEI.2008.019857.

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Abstract

This paper estimates investment cost targets for future nuclear power plants to be competitive in mid-21st century energy markets and beyond. The point of departure is the nuclear market shares derived from the Special Report on Emissions Scenarios (SRES) of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. One provocative result is that substantial nuclear expansion does not seem to require big reductions in nuclear investment costs, largely explained by the difference between cost reductions consistent with long-term energy system optimisation based on perfect foresight, and cost reductions necessary to attract private investment in today's deregulating and uncertain energy markets.

Item Type: Article
Uncontrolled Keywords: nuclear power; nuclear energy; global scenarios; long-term; innovation; performance targets; energy markets; demonstration; climate change; emissions; fuel cycles; demonstration; learning; investment costs; cost targets; nuclear investment.
Research Programs: Energy (ENE)
Transitions to New Technologies (TNT)
Bibliographic Reference: International Journal of Global Energy Issues; 30(1-4):77-101 [2008]
Depositing User: IIASA Import
Date Deposited: 15 Jan 2016 08:40
Last Modified: 23 Feb 2016 12:43
URI: http://pure.iiasa.ac.at/8537

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