Compromises in energy policy - Using fuzzy optimization in an energy systems model

Martinsen D & Krey V (2008). Compromises in energy policy - Using fuzzy optimization in an energy systems model. Energy Policy 36 (8): 2983-2994. DOI:10.1016/j.enpol.2008.04.005.

Full text not available from this repository.

Abstract

Over the last year in Germany a great many political discussions have centered around the future direction of energy and climate policy. Due to a number of events related to energy prices, security of supply and climate change, it has been necessary to develop cornerstones for a new integrated energy and climate policy. To supplement this decision process, model-based scenarios were used. In this paper we introduce fuzzy constraints to obtain a better representation of political decision processes, in particular, to find compromises between often contradictory targets (e.g. economic, environmentally friendly and secure energy supply). A number of policy aims derived from a review of the ongoing political discussions were formulated as fuzzy constraints to explicitly include trade-offs between various targets. The result is an overall satisfaction level of about 60% contingent upon the following restrictions: share of energy imports, share of biofuels, share of CHP electricity, CO2 reduction target and use of domestic hard coal. The restrictions for the share of renewable electricity, share of renewable heat, energy efficiency and postponement of nuclear phase out have higher membership function values, i.e. they are not binding and therefore get done on the side.

Item Type: Article
Uncontrolled Keywords: Energy model; Fuzzy optimization; Energy policy compromise
Research Programs: Energy (ENE)
Bibliographic Reference: Energy Policy; 36(8):2983-2994 [2008]
Depositing User: IIASA Import
Date Deposited: 15 Jan 2016 08:41
Last Modified: 24 Aug 2016 11:34
URI: http://pure.iiasa.ac.at/8602

Actions (login required)

View Item View Item

International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis (IIASA)
Schlossplatz 1, A-2361 Laxenburg, Austria
Phone: (+43 2236) 807 0 Fax:(+43 2236) 71 313