A modeling framework for assessing adaptive management options of Finnish agrifood systems to climate change

Lehtonen HS, Roetter RP, Palosuo TI, Salo TJ, Helin JA, Pavlova Y, & Kahiluoto HM (2010). A modeling framework for assessing adaptive management options of Finnish agrifood systems to climate change. Journal of Agricultural Science 2 (2): 3-16. DOI:10.5539/jas.v2n2p3.

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Abstract

Improved assessment methods for agriculture production systems are needed to identify the risks and opportunities related to global changes in climate, markets and policies, and the consequences of alternative options of coping with and mitigating the changes. This paper presents the AGRISIMU modelling framework developed for ex-ante assessment of alternative policy and management options meant to support farms and agrifood sector adapt to climate change, maintain biodiversity and reduce nutrient emissions under Finnish conditions. The modelling framework represents a novel approach to the integration of data and output from several existing models like a dynamic regional sector model of Finnish agriculture, a farm-level optimisation model, a dynamic crop growth simulation model and models describing the nutrient dynamics in agricultural systems and a hydrological rainfall-runoff model. The framework is particularly aimed for Nordic conditions and to serve as an assessment tool that considers multiple factor and scale interactions.

Item Type: Article
Uncontrolled Keywords: Adaptation and mitigation options; Agrifood systems; Climate change; Integrated assessment; Modelling; Multiple scale interactions; Nutrient emissions; Scenarios
Research Programs: Dynamic Systems (DYN)
Bibliographic Reference: Journal of Agricultural Science; 2(2):3-16 (June 2010)
Depositing User: IIASA Import
Date Deposited: 15 Jan 2016 08:44
Last Modified: 07 Sep 2016 14:10
URI: http://pure.iiasa.ac.at/9240

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