Adaptation in integrated assessment modeling: Where do we stand?

Patt A, van Vuuren DP, Berkhout F, Aaheim A, Hof AF, Isaac M, & Mechler R (2010). Adaptation in integrated assessment modeling: Where do we stand? Climatic Change 99 (3): 383-402. DOI:10.1007/s10584-009-9687-y.

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Abstract

Adaptation is an important element on the climate change policy agenda. Integrated assessment models, which are key tools to assess climate change policies, have begun to address adaptation, either by including it implicitly in damage cost estimate, or by making it an explicit control variable. We analyze how modelers have chosen to describe adaptation within an integrated framework, and suggest many ways they could improve the treatment of adaptation by considering more of its bottom-up characteristics. Until this happens, we suggest, models may be too optimistic about the net benefits adaptation can provide, and therefore may underestimate the amount of mitigation they judge to be socially optimal. Under some conditions, better modeling of adaptation costs and benefits could have important implications for defining mitigation targets.

Item Type: Article
Research Programs: Risk and Vulnerability (RAV)
Bibliographic Reference: Climatic Change; 99(3-4):383-402 (April 2010) (Published online 15 October 2009)
Depositing User: IIASA Import
Date Deposited: 15 Jan 2016 08:44
Last Modified: 18 Feb 2016 16:18
URI: http://pure.iiasa.ac.at/9270

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