Greenhouse gas scenarios for Austria: a comparison of different approaches to emission trends

Winkler, T. & Winiwarter, W. ORCID: (2016). Greenhouse gas scenarios for Austria: a comparison of different approaches to emission trends. Mitigation and Adaptation Strategies for Global Change 21 (8) 1181-1196. 10.1007/s11027-015-9642-3.

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In the present paper, national and externally organized projections of greenhouse gas emissions for Austria were compared to gain insight on the underlying scenario data assumptions. National greenhouse gas emission trends extend until 2030, an assessment of European Union (EU) countries to 2050. In addition, data for 2000-2100 was extracted from the global emission database described by the Representative Concentration Pathways (RCP). By identifying trends in these projections, it was possible to produce (a) a long-term assessment of national scenarios until 2100, (b) an assessment of the ambition level toward national climate strategies, and (c) a standardized method to compare trends across countries. By extracting RCP data, Austrian's methane, nitrous oxide,and carbon dioxide emissions up to 2100 could be projected for all sources as well as specific sectors. With respect to the RCP scenario emission data, national projectons did not seem to employ the mitigation potentials available for the most stringent RCP scenario, RCP2.6. Comparing projections that supported the EU Climate Strategy 2030 with national projections revealed similar trends. Because RCP2.6 is the only scenario consistent with a 2 degrees C global warming target, and it is much more ambitious than any of the national or European projections, further measures will be required if Austria is to adequately contribute to this widely accepted policy goal.

Item Type: Article
Uncontrolled Keywords: emission scenario; EU climate policy; Representaive Concentration Pathway; two-degree target
Research Programs: Air Quality & Greenhouse Gases (AIR)
Mitigation of Air Pollution (MAG)
Bibliographic Reference: Mitigation and Adaptation Strategies for Global Change; Article in press (Published online 6 March 2015)
Depositing User: IIASA Import
Date Deposited: 15 Jan 2016 08:52
Last Modified: 27 Aug 2021 17:24

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