Broad Scale Effects of Sulfur Deposition: A Response Surface Analysis of a Complex Model

Hettelingh J-P, Gardner RH, Rose KA, & Brenkert AL (1989). Broad Scale Effects of Sulfur Deposition: A Response Surface Analysis of a Complex Model. In: Regional Acidification Models. Eds. Kämäri, J., Brakke, D.F., Jenkins, A., Norton, S.A. & Wright, R.F., pp. 267-277 Germany: Springer Berlin Heidelberg. ISBN 978-3-642-83994-8 DOI:10.1007/978-3-642-83994-8_20.

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Prediction of the broad-scale environmental effects of acid deposition requires the extrapolation of site specific measurements to larger geographical regions. This paper uses Monte Carlo simulation of the RAINS Lake Model to investigate changes in parameter sensitivity and prediction uncertainty for geographic regions which differ in critical soil characteristics and levels of sulfur deposition. Statistical analysis of the results show that: (1) sensitivities and uncertainties shift with regional changes in soil characteristics; (2) simple response surface models can sometimes describe the pattern of predicted sulfur deposition effects; and (3) the degree of fit of the response surface model (R2) indicates the relative homogeneity of response to acid deposition.

Item Type: Book Section
Research Programs: Transboundary Air Pollution (TAP)
Transboundary Air Pollution (TAP)
Depositing User: Romeo Molina
Date Deposited: 14 Dec 2016 12:25
Last Modified: 14 Dec 2016 12:25

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