Factors Associated with the Finnish Fertility Decline Since 1776

Lutz, W. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7975-8145 (1987). Factors Associated with the Finnish Fertility Decline Since 1776. Population Studies 41 (3) 463-482. 10.1080/0032472031000143006.

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Abstract

The analysis of annual age-specific fertility rates in Finland over more than 200 years reveals the existence of a significant early fertility decline at the end of the eighteenth century preceding the secular decline that started around 1910. A reconstruction of age-specific proportions married by a simulation model based on Coale’s marriage model indicates that the mean age at marriage increased and the proportion ever-marrying decreased substantially during the period of the early fertility decline. A modification of the index of family limitation applied under certain assumptions to overall fertility rates also indicates that fertility was essentially natural until 1910. Cross-lagged correlation analysis shows that infant mortality does not influence subsequent fertility in the pre-modern period. Finally, a number of socio-economic indicators are related to fertility, and conclusions are drawn from the Finnish case about several hypotheses in the field of demographic transition.

Item Type:	Article
Research Programs:	World Population (POP)
Depositing User:	Luke Kirwan
Date Deposited:	09 Aug 2016 09:35
Last Modified:	05 Aug 2023 05:01
URI:	https://pure.iiasa.ac.at/13633

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