Data and literature repository for "Climate Futures are Political Futures: Integrating Political Development Into the Shared Socioeconomic Pathways (SSPs)"

Leininger, J., Buhaug, H., Gilmore, E., Lindberg, S., Andrijevic, M. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0199-1988, Brutschin, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7040-3057, Jewell, J., Bauer, N., Karlsson-Vinkhuyzen, S., Moyer, J., Kriegler, E., Nord, M., Roelfsema, M., Ruhe, C., Soergel, B., Tosun, J., Vesco, P., Hegre, H., Vestby, J., Wingens, C., et al. (2024). Data and literature repository for "Climate Futures are Political Futures: Integrating Political Development Into the Shared Socioeconomic Pathways (SSPs)". 10.5281/zenodo.10977218.

Full text not available from this repository.

Abstract

The datasets provided in the repository (listed in Table 1 of the manuscript):

Governance (Andrijevic et al., 2020)*

Government effectiveness (Andrijevic et al., 2020)*

Violent conflict (Hegre et al., 2016)

Rule of law (update to the Soergel et al., 2021)

*Please note that these two variables can be found in the same data file.

The indicators can also be retrieved through the SSP Extensions Explorer. For applications of the projections of political indicators in further analyses, please consult the following references:

Brutschin, E., Pianta, S., Tavoni, M., Riahi, K., Bosetti, V., Marangoni, G., & Van Ruijven, B. J. A multidimensional feasibility evaluation of low-carbon scenarios. Environmental Research Letters 2021, 16(6), 064069.

Gidden MJ, Brutschin E, Ganti G, Unlu G, Zakeri B, Fricko O, et al. Fairness and feasibility in deep mitigation pathways with novel carbon dioxide removal considering institutional capacity to mitigate. Environmental Research Letters 2023, 18(7): 074006.

Hoch JM, de Bruin SP, Buhaug H, Von Uexkull N, van Beek R, Wanders N. Projecting armed conflict risk in Africa towards 2050 along the SSP-RCP scenarios: a machine learning approach. Environmental Research Letters 2021, 16(12): 124068.

Joshi DK, Hughes BB, Sisk TD. Improving governance for the Post-2015 Sustainable Development Goals: Scenario forecasting the next 50 years. World Development 2015, 70: 286-302.

Moyer JD. Blessed are the peacemakers: The future burden of intrastate conflict on poverty. World Development 2023, 165: 106188.

Moyer JD, Turner SD, Meisel CJ. What are the drivers of diplomacy? Introducing and testing new annual dyadic data measuring diplomatic exchange. Journal of Peace Research 2021, 58(6): 1300-1310.

Petrova, K, Olafsdottir, G, Hegre, H, Gilmore, EA (2023). The ‘conflict trap’ reduces economic growth in the shared socioeconomic pathways. Environmental Research Letters, 2023, 18(2), 024028.

Item Type:	Data
Additional Information:	Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International
Research Programs:	Energy, Climate, and Environment (ECE) Energy, Climate, and Environment (ECE) > Sustainable Service Systems (S3) Energy, Climate, and Environment (ECE) > Transformative Institutional and Social Solutions (TISS)
Depositing User:	Luke Kirwan
Date Deposited:	09 Jan 2025 14:44
Last Modified:	09 Jan 2025 14:44
URI:	https://pure.iiasa.ac.at/20295

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