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Albrecher, H. (1998). Dependent Risks and Ruin Probabilities in Insurance. IIASA Interim Report. IIASA, Laxenburg, Austria: IR-98-072
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Abstract
Classical risk process models in insurance rely on independency. However, especially when modeling natural events, this assumption is very restrictive. This paper proposes a new approach to introducing dependency structures between events into the model and investigates its effects on a crucial parameter for insurance companies, the probability of ruin. Explicit formulas, numerical simulations and sensitivity results for dependence are established for different dependency models of first-order markovian type indicating that for various scenarios dependency considerably increases the probability of ruin.
| Item Type: | Monograph (IIASA Interim Report) |
|---|---|
| Research Programs: | Risk, Modeling, Policy (RMP) |
| Depositing User: | IIASA Import |
| Date Deposited: | 15 Jan 2016 02:10 |
| Last Modified: | 27 Aug 2021 17:16 |
| URI: | https://pure.iiasa.ac.at/5579 |
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