On energy systems historically and in the next centuries

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Marchetti, C. (2011). On energy systems historically and in the next centuries. Human Evolution 26 (3) 181-194.

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Abstract

The historical dynamics of primary energy sources and the way energy is used are analyzed quantitatively with logistic models that permit forecasting. Very clear and stable patterns appear that may help planning the system on the long term. The future is seen as moving to natural gas and nuclear as primary energy sources and hydrogen plus electricity as the energy vectors vehiculating energy to the final consumers. This evolutionary process may take 100 years for its full materialization.

Item Type:	Article
Uncontrolled Keywords:	Energy sources; Energy system; Historical dynamics
Research Programs:	Exploratory and Special projects (ESP)
Bibliographic Reference:	Human Evolution: An International Journal; 26(3-4):181-194 (July-December 2011)
Related URLs:	Publisher - http://www.pontecorboli.com/digital1/human-evolution/
Depositing User:	IIASA Import
Date Deposited:	15 Jan 2016 08:45
Last Modified:	27 Aug 2021 17:39
URI:	https://pure.iiasa.ac.at/9597

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