@article{iiasa13380,
          volume = {138},
          number = {1},
           month = {September},
            note = {This study was financially supported by the European Commission - DG Climate Action through the tender contract 'Development and application of EU economy-wide climate change mitigation modelling capacity (all greenhouse gas emissions and removals)', contract ref no. 071303/2011/600928/SER/CL1MA.A.4. www.euclimit.eu},
           title = {Dynamics of the land use, land use change, and forestry sink in the European Union: the impacts of energy and climate targets for 2030},
       publisher = {Springer},
            year = {2016},
         journal = {Climatic Change},
             doi = {10.1007/s10584-016-1729-7},
           pages = {253--266},
        keywords = {2030 climate and energy policy framework, greenhouse gas (GHG) reduction target, LULUCF, land use change, forestry},
             url = {https://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/eprint/13380/},
            issn = {1573-1480},
        abstract = {A 2030 climate and energy policy framework was endorsed by the European Council in 2014. The main elements are a binding 40 \% greenhouse gas (GHG) reduction target compared to 1990, a renewable energy share of 27 \%, and an energy savings target of at least 27 \% by 2030. In this paper, we assess the impact of these targets on the European land use, land use change, and forestry (LULUCF) sector using a Europe focused global land use model linked with a detailed forest management model. We show that implementing a 40 \% GHG emission reduction target by 2030 may only have a small negative impact on the domestic LULUCF sink if the additional biomass demand for energy is mostly met through ligno-cellulosic energy crops rather than forest removals. However, if the increased biomass demand were met through higher rates of forest harvest removals, a more negative impact on the LULUCF sink could be expected.},
          author = {Frank, S. and B{\"o}ttcher, H. and Gusti, M. and Havl{\'i}k, P. and Klaassen, G. and Kindermann, G. and Obersteiner, M.}
}