"13380","21","archive","2",,,"disk0/00/01/33/80","2016-07-20 13:48:11","2021-08-27 17:27:23","2016-07-20 13:48:11","article",,,"show","","",,,,"Frank","S.","","","1944","0000-0001-5702-8547","",,,,,"","","Dynamics of the land use, land use change, and forestry sink in the European Union: the impacts of energy and climate targets for 2030","pub","","","prog_esm","2030 climate and energy policy framework, greenhouse gas (GHG) reduction target, LULUCF, land use change, forestry","This study was financially supported by the European Commission – DG Climate Action through the tender contract ‘Development and application of EU economy-wide climate change mitigation modelling capacity (all greenhouse gas emissions and removals)’, contract ref no. 071303/2011/600928/SER/CL1MA.A.4. www.euclimit.eu","A 2030 climate and energy policy framework was endorsed by the European Council in 2014. The main elements are a binding 40 % greenhouse gas (GHG) reduction target compared to 1990, a renewable energy share of 27 %, and an energy savings target of at least 27 % by 2030. In this paper, we assess the impact of these targets on the European land use, land use change, and forestry (LULUCF) sector using a Europe focused global land use model linked with a detailed forest management model. We show that implementing a 40 % GHG emission reduction target by 2030 may only have a small negative impact on the domestic LULUCF sink if the additional biomass demand for energy is mostly met through ligno-cellulosic energy crops rather than forest removals. However, if the increased biomass demand were met through higher rates of forest harvest removals, a more negative impact on the LULUCF sink could be expected.","2016-09","published","Springer","10.1007/s10584-016-1729-7",,,,,,"",,,,,"",,,,,"",,,,,"","",,"",,,,,,,"94","public",,,,"Climatic Change","138","1",,"253-266",,,,,,,,,,,"TRUE",,"1573-1480",,,,,,"","","http://www.euclimit.eu/","org",,"European Commission","GLOBIOM",,,,,,,"",,,,,"FALSE","no",,"info:eu-repo/semantics/article",
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