relation: https://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/eprint/13380/ title: Dynamics of the land use, land use change, and forestry sink in the European Union: the impacts of energy and climate targets for 2030 creator: Frank, S. creator: Böttcher, H. creator: Gusti, M. creator: Havlík, P. creator: Klaassen, G. creator: Kindermann, G. creator: Obersteiner, M. description: A 2030 climate and energy policy framework was endorsed by the European Council in 2014. The main elements are a binding 40 % greenhouse gas (GHG) reduction target compared to 1990, a renewable energy share of 27 %, and an energy savings target of at least 27 % by 2030. In this paper, we assess the impact of these targets on the European land use, land use change, and forestry (LULUCF) sector using a Europe focused global land use model linked with a detailed forest management model. We show that implementing a 40 % GHG emission reduction target by 2030 may only have a small negative impact on the domestic LULUCF sink if the additional biomass demand for energy is mostly met through ligno-cellulosic energy crops rather than forest removals. However, if the increased biomass demand were met through higher rates of forest harvest removals, a more negative impact on the LULUCF sink could be expected. publisher: Springer date: 2016-09 type: Article type: PeerReviewed format: text language: en rights: cc_by identifier: https://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/eprint/13380/1/Dynamics%20of%20the%20land-use.pdf format: text language: en rights: cc_by identifier: https://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/eprint/13380/2/10584_2016_1729_MOESM1_ESM.docx identifier: Frank, S. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5702-8547 , Böttcher, H., Gusti, M. , Havlík, P. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5551-5085 , Klaassen, G., Kindermann, G. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4297-1318 , & Obersteiner, M. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-6981-2769 (2016). Dynamics of the land use, land use change, and forestry sink in the European Union: the impacts of energy and climate targets for 2030. Climatic Change 138 (1) 253-266. 10.1007/s10584-016-1729-7 . relation: 10.1007/s10584-016-1729-7 identifier: 10.1007/s10584-016-1729-7 doi: 10.1007/s10584-016-1729-7