https://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/eprint/13380 2021-08-27T17:27:23Z info:eu-repo/semantics/descriptiveMetadata https://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/eprint/13380/ Dynamics of the land use, land use change, and forestry sink in the European Union: the impacts of energy and climate targets for 2030 Frank, S. Böttcher, H. Gusti, M. Havlík, P. Klaassen, G. Kindermann, G. Obersteiner, M. A 2030 climate and energy policy framework was endorsed by the European Council in 2014. The main elements are a binding 40 % greenhouse gas (GHG) reduction target compared to 1990, a renewable energy share of 27 %, and an energy savings target of at least 27 % by 2030. In this paper, we assess the impact of these targets on the European land use, land use change, and forestry (LULUCF) sector using a Europe focused global land use model linked with a detailed forest management model. We show that implementing a 40 % GHG emission reduction target by 2030 may only have a small negative impact on the domestic LULUCF sink if the additional biomass demand for energy is mostly met through ligno-cellulosic energy crops rather than forest removals. However, if the increased biomass demand were met through higher rates of forest harvest removals, a more negative impact on the LULUCF sink could be expected. Springer 2016-09 Article PeerReviewed text en cc_by https://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/eprint/13380/1/Dynamics%20of%20the%20land-use.pdf text en cc_by https://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/eprint/13380/2/10584_2016_1729_MOESM1_ESM.docx Frank, S. <https://pure.iiasa.ac.at/view/iiasa/94.html> ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5702-8547 <https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5702-8547>, Böttcher, H., Gusti, M. <https://pure.iiasa.ac.at/view/iiasa/114.html>, Havlík, P. <https://pure.iiasa.ac.at/view/iiasa/119.html> ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5551-5085 <https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5551-5085>, Klaassen, G., Kindermann, G. <https://pure.iiasa.ac.at/view/iiasa/157.html> ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4297-1318 <https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4297-1318>, & Obersteiner, M. <https://pure.iiasa.ac.at/view/iiasa/219.html> ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-6981-2769 <https://orcid.org/0000-0001-6981-2769> (2016). Dynamics of the land use, land use change, and forestry sink in the European Union: the impacts of energy and climate targets for 2030. Climatic Change 138 (1) 253-266. 10.1007/s10584-016-1729-7 <https://doi.org/10.1007/s10584-016-1729-7>. 10.1007/s10584-016-1729-7 10.1007/s10584-016-1729-7 10.1007/s10584-016-1729-7 info:eu-repo/semantics/objectFile info:eu-repo/semantics/objectFile info:eu-repo/semantics/humanStartPage