TY  - JOUR
ID  - iiasa13380
UR  - https://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/eprint/13380/
IS  - 1
A1  - Frank, S.
A1  - Böttcher, H.
A1  - Gusti, M.
A1  - Havlík, P.
A1  - Klaassen, G.
A1  - Kindermann, G.
A1  - Obersteiner, M.
N2  - A 2030 climate and energy policy framework was endorsed by the European Council in 2014. The main elements are a binding 40 % greenhouse gas (GHG) reduction target compared to 1990, a renewable energy share of 27 %, and an energy savings target of at least 27 % by 2030. In this paper, we assess the impact of these targets on the European land use, land use change, and forestry (LULUCF) sector using a Europe focused global land use model linked with a detailed forest management model. We show that implementing a 40 % GHG emission reduction target by 2030 may only have a small negative impact on the domestic LULUCF sink if the additional biomass demand for energy is mostly met through ligno-cellulosic energy crops rather than forest removals. However, if the increased biomass demand were met through higher rates of forest harvest removals, a more negative impact on the LULUCF sink could be expected.
VL  - 138
TI  - Dynamics of the land use, land use change, and forestry sink in the European Union: the impacts of energy and climate targets for 2030
AV  - public
EP  - 266
N1  - This study was financially supported by the European Commission ? DG Climate Action through the tender contract ?Development and application of EU economy-wide climate change mitigation modelling capacity (all greenhouse gas emissions and removals)?, contract ref no. 071303/2011/600928/SER/CL1MA.A.4. www.euclimit.eu
Y1  - 2016/09//
PB  - Springer
JF  - Climatic Change
KW  - 2030 climate and energy policy framework
KW  -  greenhouse gas (GHG) reduction target
KW  -  LULUCF
KW  -  land use change
KW  -  forestry
SN  - 1573-1480
SP  - 253
ER  -