eprintid: 13380
rev_number: 21
eprint_status: archive
userid: 2
dir: disk0/00/01/33/80
datestamp: 2016-07-20 13:48:11
lastmod: 2021-08-27 17:27:23
status_changed: 2016-07-20 13:48:11
type: article
metadata_visibility: show
creators_name: Frank, S.
creators_name: Böttcher, H.
creators_name: Gusti, M.
creators_name: Havlík, P.
creators_name: Klaassen, G.
creators_name: Kindermann, G.
creators_name: Obersteiner, M.
creators_id: 1944
creators_id: 97792
creators_id: 1868
creators_id: 8178
creators_id: 7255
creators_orcid: 0000-0001-5702-8547
creators_orcid: 0000-0001-5551-5085
creators_orcid: 0000-0003-4297-1318
creators_orcid: 0000-0001-6981-2769
title: Dynamics of the land use, land use change, and forestry sink in the European Union: the impacts of energy and climate targets for 2030
ispublished: pub
divisions: prog_esm
keywords: 2030 climate and energy policy framework, greenhouse gas (GHG) reduction target, LULUCF, land use change, forestry
note: This study was financially supported by the European Commission – DG Climate Action through the tender contract ‘Development and application of EU economy-wide climate change mitigation modelling capacity (all greenhouse gas emissions and removals)’, contract ref no. 071303/2011/600928/SER/CL1MA.A.4. www.euclimit.eu
abstract: A 2030 climate and energy policy framework was endorsed by the European Council in 2014. The main elements are a binding 40 % greenhouse gas (GHG) reduction target compared to 1990, a renewable energy share of 27 %, and an energy savings target of at least 27 % by 2030. In this paper, we assess the impact of these targets on the European land use, land use change, and forestry (LULUCF) sector using a Europe focused global land use model linked with a detailed forest management model. We show that implementing a 40 % GHG emission reduction target by 2030 may only have a small negative impact on the domestic LULUCF sink if the additional biomass demand for energy is mostly met through ligno-cellulosic energy crops rather than forest removals. However, if the increased biomass demand were met through higher rates of forest harvest removals, a more negative impact on the LULUCF sink could be expected.
date: 2016-09
date_type: published
publisher: Springer
id_number: 10.1007/s10584-016-1729-7
creators_browse_id: 94
creators_browse_id: 114
creators_browse_id: 119
creators_browse_id: 157
creators_browse_id: 219
full_text_status: public
publication: Climatic Change
volume: 138
number: 1
pagerange: 253-266
refereed: TRUE
issn: 1573-1480
related_url_url: http://www.euclimit.eu/
related_url_type: org
funders: European Commission
projects: GLOBIOM
coversheets_dirty: FALSE
fp7_project: no
fp7_type: info:eu-repo/semantics/article
citation:   Frank, S. <https://pure.iiasa.ac.at/view/iiasa/94.html> ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5702-8547 <https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5702-8547>, Böttcher, H., Gusti, M. <https://pure.iiasa.ac.at/view/iiasa/114.html>, Havlík, P. <https://pure.iiasa.ac.at/view/iiasa/119.html> ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5551-5085 <https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5551-5085>, Klaassen, G., Kindermann, G. <https://pure.iiasa.ac.at/view/iiasa/157.html> ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4297-1318 <https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4297-1318>, & Obersteiner, M. <https://pure.iiasa.ac.at/view/iiasa/219.html> ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-6981-2769 <https://orcid.org/0000-0001-6981-2769>  (2016).  Dynamics of the land use, land use change, and forestry sink in the European Union: the impacts of energy and climate targets for 2030.   Climatic Change 138 (1) 253-266. 10.1007/s10584-016-1729-7 <https://doi.org/10.1007/s10584-016-1729-7>.       
document_url: https://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/eprint/13380/1/Dynamics%20of%20the%20land-use.pdf
document_url: https://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/eprint/13380/2/10584_2016_1729_MOESM1_ESM.docx