eprintid: 13383 rev_number: 24 eprint_status: archive userid: 353 dir: disk0/00/01/33/83 datestamp: 2016-07-22 06:29:52 lastmod: 2021-08-27 17:27:24 status_changed: 2016-07-22 06:29:52 type: article metadata_visibility: show creators_name: Johnson, N. creators_name: Strubegger, M. creators_name: McPherson, M. creators_name: Parkinson, S. creators_name: Krey, V. creators_name: Sullivan, P. creators_id: 1970 creators_id: 1407 creators_id: 2028 creators_id: 8099 creators_orcid: 0000-0002-4753-5198 creators_orcid: 0000-0003-0307-3515 title: A reduced-form approach for representing the impacts of wind and solar PV deployment on the structure and operation of the electricity system ispublished: pub divisions: prog_ene keywords: Renewable energy; integrated assessment modeling; integration; of renewables; residual load duration curves abstract: In many climate change mitigation scenarios, integrated assessment models of the energy and climate systems rely heavily on renewable energy technologies with variable and uncertain generation, such as wind and solar PV, to achieve substantial decarbonization of the electricity sector. However, these models often include very little temporal resolution and thus have difficulty in representing the integration costs that arise from mismatches between electricity supply and demand. The global integrated assessment model, MESSAGE, has been updated to explicitly model the trade-offs between variable renewable energy (VRE) deployment and its impacts on the electricity system, including the implications for electricity curtailment, backup capacity, and system flexibility. These impacts have been parameterized using a reduced-form approach, which allows VRE integration impacts to be quantified on a regional basis. In addition, thermoelectric technologies were updated to include two modes of operation, baseload and flexible, to better account for the cost, efficiency, and availability penalties associated with flexible operation. In this paper, the modeling approach used in MESSAGE is explained and the implications for VRE deployment in mitigation scenarios are assessed. Three important stylized facts associated with integrating high VRE shares are successfully reproduced by our modeling approach: (1) the significant reduction in the utilization of non-VRE power plants; (2) the diminishing role for traditional baseload generators, such as nuclear and coal, and the transition to more flexible technologies; and (3) the importance of electricity storage and hydrogen electrolysis in facilitating the deployment of VRE. date: 2017-05 date_type: published publisher: Elsevier id_number: 10.1016/j.eneco.2016.07.010 creators_browse_id: 137 creators_browse_id: 300 creators_browse_id: 225 creators_browse_id: 166 full_text_status: public publication: Energy Economics volume: 64 pagerange: 651-554 refereed: TRUE issn: 0140-9883 projects: Advanced Model Development and Validation for Improved Analysis of Costs and Impacts of Mitigation Policies (ADVANCE, FP7 308329) coversheets_dirty: FALSE fp7_project: yes fp7_project_id: info:eu-repo/grantAgreement/EC/FP7/308329/EU/Advanced Model Development and Validation for Improved Analysis of Costs and Impacts of Mitigation Policies/ADVANCE fp7_type: info:eu-repo/semantics/article access_rights: info:eu-repo/semantics/embargoedAccess citation: Johnson, N. , Strubegger, M. , McPherson, M., Parkinson, S. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-4753-5198 , Krey, V. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0307-3515 , & Sullivan, P. (2017). A reduced-form approach for representing the impacts of wind and solar PV deployment on the structure and operation of the electricity system. Energy Economics 64 651-554. 10.1016/j.eneco.2016.07.010 . document_url: https://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/eprint/13383/1/A%20reduced-form%20approach%20for%20representing%20the%20impacts%20of%20wind%20and%20solar%20PV.pdf document_url: https://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/eprint/13383/7/MESSAGE_VRE_Paperversion_submitted.pdf document_url: https://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/eprint/13383/8/MESSAGE_VRE_Paperversion_supp.pdf