eprintid: 13485 rev_number: 10 eprint_status: archive userid: 2 dir: disk0/00/01/34/85 datestamp: 2016-07-29 10:46:28 lastmod: 2021-08-27 17:27:31 status_changed: 2016-07-29 10:46:28 type: article metadata_visibility: show creators_name: Stonawski, M. creators_name: Potančoková, M. creators_name: Cantele, M. creators_name: Skirbekk, V. creators_id: 8279 creators_id: 1985 creators_id: 2020 creators_orcid: 0000-0001-6115-5952 title: The changing religious composition of Nigeria: causes and implications of demographic divergence ispublished: pub divisions: prog_pop abstract: At nearly 170 million inhabitants, Nigeria is Africa's most populous country by twofold and fertility levels remain higher than most other sub-Saharan African nations. Throughout the last several decades, the fertility gap between Christians and Muslims has widened with significant political implications for a nascent democracy. Where the Demographic Health Survey (DHS) survey of 1990 revealed a non-significant difference of 0·3 children, this figure had increased to 2·3 children by 2013. As the total fertility rate (TFR) of Christians decreased significantly from 6·1 to 4·5 children per woman between 1990 and 2013, the TFR of Muslims increased from 6·4 to 6·8 children per woman. The timing of this divergence coincides with the formal institutionalization of Sharia law in 1999. We examine the role of religion on education, contraception and family behaviour. Finally, we touch upon the implications for population growth and the religious composition of Nigeria in the coming decades. date: 2016 id_number: 10.1017/S0022278X16000409 creators_browse_id: 297 creators_browse_id: 236 creators_browse_id: 50 full_text_status: public publication: The Journal of Modern African Studies volume: 54 number: 03 pagerange: 361-387 refereed: TRUE issn: 0022-278X coversheets_dirty: FALSE fp7_project: no fp7_type: info:eu-repo/semantics/article citation: Stonawski, M. , Potančoková, M. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-6115-5952 , Cantele, M. , & Skirbekk, V. (2016). The changing religious composition of Nigeria: causes and implications of demographic divergence. The Journal of Modern African Studies 54 (03) 361-387. 10.1017/S0022278X16000409 . document_url: https://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/eprint/13485/1/The%20changing%20religious%20composition%20of%20Nigeria.pdf