eprintid: 13559
rev_number: 12
eprint_status: archive
userid: 353
dir: disk0/00/01/35/59
datestamp: 2016-08-03 12:49:02
lastmod: 2021-08-27 17:27:33
status_changed: 2016-08-03 12:49:02
type: article
metadata_visibility: show
creators_name: Tarasyev, A.
creators_name: Cao, G.-Y.
creators_name: Rovenskaya, E.
creators_id: 1708
creators_id: 8206
creators_orcid: 0000-0002-2761-3443
title: Migration Flows and Effects in the CIS Countries—Dynamic Modelling
ispublished: pub
divisions: prog_asa
divisions: prog_esp
keywords: Migration Flow, Dynamic Modelling, Commonwealth of Independent States (CIS), Russia
abstract: Labour migration across countries has been playing a key role in the process of economic integration in the countries of the Commonwealth of Independent States (CIS). The experience of labour migration in CIS appears to be characterized by growing complexity with an increasingly diverse array of countries of origin and destination. The main issues of this paper are: 1) to understand how wage dynamics defined by the labour demand/supply ratio feeds back to migration dynamics, which affects the migration flows between sending and receiving countries over time; 2) to explore how the age structure affects migration flow which in turn effects labour supply in the host country; and 3) to project the potential future migration flow and its impacts on surplus and deficit of labour resource, in order to provide the relevant for migration policies at the both national and regional levels. In this paper we analyse these issues within a dynamic framework; we consider migrant flow into a host region/country at certain moments of time depending on the relationship between expected earnings, costs, and age structure. In addition, we also consider how migration flows interact with natural population growth and age structure in sending and hosting countries.
date: 2016-07
date_type: published
publisher: Scientific Researcher
id_number: 10.4236/me.2016.77082
creators_browse_id: 51
creators_browse_id: 260
full_text_status: public
publication: Modern Economy
volume: 07
number: 07
pagerange: 799-814
refereed: TRUE
issn: 2152-7245
coversheets_dirty: FALSE
fp7_project: no
fp7_type: info:eu-repo/semantics/article
citation:   Tarasyev, A., Cao, G.-Y. <https://pure.iiasa.ac.at/view/iiasa/51.html>, & Rovenskaya, E. <https://pure.iiasa.ac.at/view/iiasa/260.html> ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2761-3443 <https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2761-3443>  (2016).  Migration Flows and Effects in the CIS Countries—Dynamic Modelling.   Modern Economy 07 (07) 799-814. 10.4236/me.2016.77082 <https://doi.org/10.4236/me.2016.77082>.       
document_url: https://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/eprint/13559/1/Migration%20Flows%20and%20Effects%20in%20the%20CIS%20Countries.pdf