eprintid: 13564
rev_number: 11
eprint_status: archive
userid: 353
dir: disk0/00/01/35/64
datestamp: 2016-08-04 06:42:34
lastmod: 2021-08-27 17:27:33
status_changed: 2016-08-04 06:42:34
type: article
metadata_visibility: show
item_issues_count: 1
creators_name: Kharrazi, A.
creators_name: Kakuwa, M.
creators_id: 8681
creators_orcid: 0000-0002-5881-2568
title: Scenario projects in Japanese government: Strategic approaches for overcoming psychological and institutional barriers
ispublished: pub
divisions: prog_asa
keywords: scenario planning; public sector; psychological barriers; institutional barriers; derailment
abstract: Scenario planning in the public sector has significant differences from scenario planning in the corporate world. Scenario planning in the government not only tends to be focused on issue of higher complexity and significance to public policy, but also in comparison to people in the private business, public officials have fundamental psychological and institutional constraints in their scenario thinking. These constraints make it difficult for them to contemplate multiple ‘untidy’ futures and imagine the possibility of policy failure: skills which are essential for successful scenario projects. Based on specific characteristics of scenario planning in the Japanese government, this paper contributes on better understanding the challenges and strategic solutions in providing more successful scenario planning in the public sector. Specifically, this paper argues that possible solutions in overcoming these constraints may be to shake public bureaucrats out of their thinking by providing free and open venues of conversation and more importantly through ‘derailment’ exercises.
date: 2017-02-03
date_type: published
publisher: Elsevier
id_number: 10.1016/j.futures.2016.08.003
creators_browse_id: 153
full_text_status: public
publication: Futures
volume: 86
pagerange: 18-26
refereed: TRUE
issn: 1873-6378
coversheets_dirty: FALSE
fp7_project: no
fp7_type: info:eu-repo/semantics/article
citation:   Kharrazi, A. <https://pure.iiasa.ac.at/view/iiasa/153.html> ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5881-2568 <https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5881-2568> & Kakuwa, M.  (2017).  Scenario projects in Japanese government: Strategic approaches for overcoming psychological and institutional barriers.   Futures 86 18-26. 10.1016/j.futures.2016.08.003 <https://doi.org/10.1016/j.futures.2016.08.003>.       
document_url: https://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/eprint/13564/1/Scenario%20projects%20in%20Japanese%20government.pdf