eprintid: 13738
rev_number: 12
eprint_status: archive
userid: 2
dir: disk0/00/01/37/38
datestamp: 2016-08-18 09:02:04
lastmod: 2021-08-27 17:27:38
status_changed: 2016-08-18 09:02:04
type: article
metadata_visibility: show
item_issues_count: 1
creators_name: Smith, S.J.
creators_name: Rao, S.
creators_name: Riahi, K.
creators_name: van Vuuren, D.P.
creators_name: Calvin, K.V.
creators_name: Kyle, P.
creators_id: 1771
creators_id: 1696
creators_orcid: 0000-0001-7193-3498
title: Future aerosol emissions: a multi-model comparison
ispublished: pub
divisions: prog_ene
keywords: Aerosols; Carbon; Carbon dioxide; Global warming; Industrial emissions; Sulfur dioxide
abstract: This paper compares projections over the twenty-first century of SO2, BC, and OC emissions from three technologically detailed, long-term integrated assessment models. The character of the projections and the response of emissions due to a comprehensive climate policy are discussed focusing on the sectoral level. In a continuation of historical experience, aerosol and precursor emissions are increasingly decoupled from carbon dioxide emissions over the twenty-first century due to a combination of emission controls and technology shifts over time. Implementation of a comprehensive climate policy further reduces emissions, although there is significant variation in this response by sector and by model: the response has many similarities between models for the energy transformation and transportation sectors, with more diversity in the response for the building and industrial sectors. Much of these differences can be traced to specific characteristics of reference case end-use and supply-side technology deployment and emissions control assumptions, which are detailed by sector.
date: 2016
publisher: Springer
id_number: 10.1007/s10584-016-1733-y
creators_browse_id: 244
creators_browse_id: 250
full_text_status: none
publication: Climatic Change
pagerange: 1-12
refereed: TRUE
issn: 0165-0009
funders: SJS was supported for this work by the Climate Change Division, U.S. Environmental Protection Agency with additional support from the Global Technology Strategy Project at PNNL.
projects: Pan-European Gas-AeroSol-climate interaction Study (PEGASOS, FP7 265148)
coversheets_dirty: FALSE
fp7_project: yes
fp7_project_id: info:eu-repo/grantAgreement/EC/FP7/265148/EU/Pan-European Gas-AeroSol-climate interaction Study/PEGASOS
fp7_type: info:eu-repo/semantics/article
access_rights: info:eu-repo/semantics/restrictedAccess
citation:   Smith, S.J., Rao, S. <https://pure.iiasa.ac.at/view/iiasa/244.html>, Riahi, K. <https://pure.iiasa.ac.at/view/iiasa/250.html> ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7193-3498 <https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7193-3498>, van Vuuren, D.P., Calvin, K.V., & Kyle, P.  (2016).  Future aerosol emissions: a multi-model comparison.   Climatic Change 1-12. 10.1007/s10584-016-1733-y <https://doi.org/10.1007/s10584-016-1733-y>.