The world's biggest gambleJ.RockströmauthorH.J.SchellnhuberauthorB.HoskinsauthorV.RamanathanauthorP.SchlosserauthorG.P.BrasseurauthorO.GaffneyauthorC.NobreauthorM.MeinsheusenauthorJ.RogeljauthorW.LuchtauthorThe scale of the decarbonisation challenge to meet the Paris Agreement is underplayed in the public arena. It will require precipitous emission reductions and a new carbon sink on the scale of the ocean sink within 40 years. Even then, the world is extremely likely to overshoot. A catastrophic failure of policy, for example waiting another decade for transformative policy and full commitments to fossil-free economies, will have irreversible and deleterious repercussions for humanity's remaining time on Earth. Only a global zero carbon roadmap will put the world on a course to phase-out greenhouse gas emissions and create the essential carbon sinks for Earth-system stability, without which, world prosperity is not possible.2016-10-26Wiley & Sons, Inc.Article