TY - JOUR ID - iiasa13767 UR - https://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/eprint/13767/ IS - 10 A1 - Rockström, J. A1 - Schellnhuber, H.J. A1 - Hoskins, B. A1 - Ramanathan, V. A1 - Schlosser, P. A1 - Brasseur, G.P. A1 - Gaffney, O. A1 - Nobre, C. A1 - Meinsheusen, M. A1 - Rogelj, J. A1 - Lucht, W. N2 - The scale of the decarbonisation challenge to meet the Paris Agreement is underplayed in the public arena. It will require precipitous emission reductions and a new carbon sink on the scale of the ocean sink within 40 years. Even then, the world is extremely likely to overshoot. A catastrophic failure of policy, for example waiting another decade for transformative policy and full commitments to fossil-free economies, will have irreversible and deleterious repercussions for humanity's remaining time on Earth. Only a global zero carbon roadmap will put the world on a course to phase-out greenhouse gas emissions and create the essential carbon sinks for Earth-system stability, without which, world prosperity is not possible. VL - 4 TI - The world's biggest gamble AV - public EP - 470 Y1 - 2016/10/26/ PB - Wiley & Sons, Inc. JF - Earth's Future KW - Climate Change; Decarbonisation; Paris Agreement; Carbon Roadmap; Carbon Budget; Earth system SN - 23284277 SP - 465 ER -