%A J. Rockström
%A H.J. Schellnhuber
%A B. Hoskins
%A V. Ramanathan
%A P. Schlosser
%A G.P. Brasseur
%A O. Gaffney
%A C. Nobre
%A M. Meinsheusen
%A J. Rogelj
%A W. Lucht
%J Earth's Future
%T The world's biggest gamble
%X The scale of the decarbonisation challenge to meet the Paris Agreement is underplayed in the public arena. It will require precipitous emission reductions and a new carbon sink on the scale of the ocean sink within 40 years. Even then, the world is extremely likely to overshoot. A catastrophic failure of policy, for example waiting another decade for transformative policy and full commitments to fossil-free economies, will have irreversible and deleterious repercussions for humanity's remaining time on Earth. Only a global zero carbon roadmap will put the world on a course to phase-out greenhouse gas emissions and create the essential carbon sinks for Earth-system stability, without which, world prosperity is not possible.
%N 10
%K Climate Change; Decarbonisation; Paris Agreement; Carbon Roadmap; Carbon Budget; Earth system
%P 465-470
%V 4
%D 2016
%I Wiley & Sons, Inc.
%R 10.1002/2016EF000392
%L iiasa13767