eprintid: 13767 rev_number: 26 eprint_status: archive userid: 5 dir: disk0/00/01/37/67 datestamp: 2016-08-25 10:10:26 lastmod: 2021-08-27 17:27:39 status_changed: 2016-08-25 10:10:26 type: article metadata_visibility: show creators_name: Rockström, J. creators_name: Schellnhuber, H.J. creators_name: Hoskins, B. creators_name: Ramanathan, V. creators_name: Schlosser, P. creators_name: Brasseur, G.P. creators_name: Gaffney, O. creators_name: Nobre, C. creators_name: Meinsheusen, M. creators_name: Rogelj, J. creators_name: Lucht, W. creators_id: 8630 creators_orcid: 0000-0003-2056-9061 title: The world's biggest gamble ispublished: pub divisions: prog_ene keywords: Climate Change; Decarbonisation; Paris Agreement; Carbon Roadmap; Carbon Budget; Earth system abstract: The scale of the decarbonisation challenge to meet the Paris Agreement is underplayed in the public arena. It will require precipitous emission reductions and a new carbon sink on the scale of the ocean sink within 40 years. Even then, the world is extremely likely to overshoot. A catastrophic failure of policy, for example waiting another decade for transformative policy and full commitments to fossil-free economies, will have irreversible and deleterious repercussions for humanity's remaining time on Earth. Only a global zero carbon roadmap will put the world on a course to phase-out greenhouse gas emissions and create the essential carbon sinks for Earth-system stability, without which, world prosperity is not possible. date: 2016-10-26 date_type: published publisher: Wiley & Sons, Inc. id_number: 10.1002/2016EF000392 creators_browse_id: 254 full_text_status: public publication: Earth's Future volume: 4 number: 10 pagerange: 465-470 refereed: TRUE issn: 23284277 coversheets_dirty: FALSE fp7_project: no fp7_type: info:eu-repo/semantics/article citation: Rockström, J., Schellnhuber, H.J., Hoskins, B., Ramanathan, V., Schlosser, P., Brasseur, G.P., Gaffney, O., Nobre, C., et al. (2016). The world's biggest gamble. Earth's Future 4 (10) 465-470. 10.1002/2016EF000392 . document_url: https://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/eprint/13767/1/2016EF000392.pdf