eprintid: 13792
rev_number: 12
eprint_status: archive
userid: 353
dir: disk0/00/01/37/92
datestamp: 2016-09-07 09:09:25
lastmod: 2021-08-27 17:27:42
status_changed: 2016-09-07 09:09:25
type: article
metadata_visibility: show
creators_name: Parkinson, S.
creators_name: Johnson, N.
creators_name: Rao, N.
creators_name: Jones, B.
creators_name: van Vliet, M.
creators_name: Fricko, O.
creators_name: Djilali, N.
creators_name: Riahi, K.
creators_name: Flörke, M.
creators_id: 2028
creators_id: 1970
creators_id: 1961
creators_id: 8728
creators_id: 2004
creators_id: 1696
creators_orcid: 0000-0002-4753-5198
creators_orcid: 0000-0003-1888-5292
creators_orcid: 0000-0002-6835-9883
creators_orcid: 0000-0001-7193-3498
title: Climate and human development impacts on municipal water demand: A spatially-explicit global modeling framework
ispublished: pub
divisions: prog_ene
keywords: Water demand; Long-term planning; Urbanization; Climate change impacts; Integrated assessment modeling; Downscaling
abstract: Municipal water systems provide crucial services for human well-being, and will undergo a major transformation this century following global technological, socioeconomic and environmental changes. Future demand scenarios integrating these drivers over multi-decadal planning horizons are needed to develop effective adaptation strategies. This paper presents a new long-term scenario modeling framework that projects future daily municipal water demand at a 1/8° global spatial resolution. The methodology incorporates improved representations of important demand drivers such as urbanization and climate change. The framework is applied across multiple future socioeconomic and climate scenarios to explore municipal water demand uncertainties over the 21st century. The scenario analysis reveals that achieving a low-carbon development pathway can potentially reduce global municipal water demands in 2060 by 2–4%, although the timing and scale of impacts vary significantly with geographic location.
date: 2016-11
date_type: published
publisher: Elsevier
id_number: 10.1016/j.envsoft.2016.08.002
creators_browse_id: 225
creators_browse_id: 137
creators_browse_id: 243
creators_browse_id: 350
creators_browse_id: 97
creators_browse_id: 250
full_text_status: public
publication: Environmental Modelling & Software
volume: 85
pagerange: 266-278
refereed: TRUE
issn: 1873-6726
coversheets_dirty: FALSE
fp7_project: no
fp7_type: info:eu-repo/semantics/article
citation:   Parkinson, S. <https://pure.iiasa.ac.at/view/iiasa/225.html> ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-4753-5198 <https://orcid.org/0000-0002-4753-5198>, Johnson, N. <https://pure.iiasa.ac.at/view/iiasa/137.html>, Rao, N. <https://pure.iiasa.ac.at/view/iiasa/243.html> ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1888-5292 <https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1888-5292>, Jones, B., van Vliet, M. <https://pure.iiasa.ac.at/view/iiasa/350.html>, Fricko, O. <https://pure.iiasa.ac.at/view/iiasa/97.html> ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6835-9883 <https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6835-9883>, Djilali, N., Riahi, K. <https://pure.iiasa.ac.at/view/iiasa/250.html> ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7193-3498 <https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7193-3498>, et al.  (2016).  Climate and human development impacts on municipal water demand: A spatially-explicit global modeling framework.   Environmental Modelling & Software 85 266-278. 10.1016/j.envsoft.2016.08.002 <https://doi.org/10.1016/j.envsoft.2016.08.002>.       
document_url: https://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/eprint/13792/1/climate_development_impact_municipal_water_demand_preprint.pdf