eprintid: 13817 rev_number: 15 eprint_status: archive userid: 353 dir: disk0/00/01/38/17 datestamp: 2016-09-21 06:57:03 lastmod: 2021-08-27 17:27:45 status_changed: 2016-09-21 06:57:03 type: article metadata_visibility: show creators_name: Fujimori, S. creators_name: Su, X. creators_name: Liu, J.-Y. creators_name: Hasegawa, T. creators_name: Takahashi, K. creators_name: Masui, T. creators_name: Takimi, M. creators_id: 8258 creators_id: 8463 creators_orcid: 0000-0001-7897-1796 title: Implication of Paris Agreement in the context of long-term climate mitigation goals ispublished: pub divisions: prog_ene divisions: prog_esm keywords: AIM; Integrated assessment model; Land use; Climate change mitigation abstract: The Paris Agreement confirmed the global aim to achieve a long-term climate goal, in which the global increase in mean temperature is kept below 2 °C compared to the preindustrial level. We investigated the implications of the near-term emissions targets (for around the year 2030) in the context of the long-term climate mitigation goal using the Asia-Pacific Integrated Model framework. To achieve the 2 °C goal, a large greenhouse gas emissions reduction is required, either in the early or latter half of this century. In the mid-term (from 2030 to 2050), it may be necessary to consider rapid changes to the existing energy or socioeconomic systems, while long-term measures (after 2050) will rely on the substantial use of biomass combined with carbon capture and storage technology or afforestation, which will eventually realize so-called negative CO2 emissions. With respect to the policy context, two suggestions are provided here. The first is the review and revision of the nationally determined contributions (NDCs) in 2020, with an additional reduction target to the current NDCs being one workable alternative. The second suggestion is a concrete and numerical mid-term emissions reduction target, for example to be met by 2040 or 2050, which could also help to achieve the long-term climate goal. date: 2016-09-20 date_type: published publisher: Springer id_number: doi:10.1186/s40064-016-3235-9 creators_browse_id: 2881 creators_browse_id: 1314 full_text_status: public publication: SpringerPlus volume: 5 number: 1 pagerange: e1620 refereed: TRUE issn: 2193-1801 coversheets_dirty: FALSE fp7_project: no fp7_type: info:eu-repo/semantics/article citation: Fujimori, S. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7897-1796 , Su, X., Liu, J.-Y., Hasegawa, T. , Takahashi, K., Masui, T., & Takimi, M. (2016). Implication of Paris Agreement in the context of long-term climate mitigation goals. SpringerPlus 5 (1) e1620. 10.1186/s40064-016-3235-9 . document_url: https://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/eprint/13817/1/Implication%20of%20Paris%20Agreement%20in%20the%20context%20of%20long-term%20climate%20mitigation%20goals.pdf document_url: https://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/eprint/13817/2/40064_2016_3235_MOESM1_ESM.pdf