eprintid: 13823 rev_number: 9 eprint_status: archive userid: 353 dir: disk0/00/01/38/23 datestamp: 2016-09-21 09:43:37 lastmod: 2021-08-27 17:27:46 status_changed: 2016-09-21 09:43:37 type: book_section metadata_visibility: show creators_name: Strießnig, E. creators_name: Loichinger, E. creators_id: 1862 creators_id: 8480 creators_orcid: 0000-0001-5419-9498 title: Future differential vulnerability to natural disasters by level of education ispublished: pub divisions: prog_pop abstract: The present paper looks at the implications of anticipated changes in population size and composition for the projected number of deaths from natural disasters Building on empirical evidence from cross-country time series of factors associated with natural disaster fatalities since 1970 in 174 countries, the paper first highlights the major role of education in enabling people to cope with weather extremes in the past. Using the five demographic scenarios implied by the Shared Socioeconomic Pathways (SSPs), which include trajectories for the future of educational expansion, this evidence is translated in the second part of the paper into projections of the number of deaths from climate-related extreme natural events for six major world regions. Assuming constant hazard, we demonstrate the importance of including in assessments of future vulnerability not only the projected population size but the full population heterogeneity by age, sex and level of education. date: 2016-09-20 date_type: published publisher: Verlag der Oesterreichischen Akademie der Wissenschaften official_url: http://dx.doi.org/10.1553/populationyearbook2015s221 creators_browse_id: 299 creators_browse_id: 186 creators_browse_id: 213 creators_browse_id: 1985 full_text_status: public publication: Vienna Yearbook of Population Research volume: 1 place_of_pub: Vienna, Austria pagerange: 221-240 refereed: TRUE isbn: 13: 978-3-7001-8007-4 issn: 1728-4414 book_title: Vienna Yearbook of Population Research 2015 editors_name: Muttarak, R. editors_name: Jiang, L. editors_id: 1959 editors_id: AL0176 editors_orcid: 0000-0003-0627-4451 coversheets_dirty: FALSE fp7_project: no fp7_type: info:eu-repo/semantics/bookPart citation: Strießnig, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5419-9498 & Loichinger, E. (2016). Future differential vulnerability to natural disasters by level of education. In: Vienna Yearbook of Population Research 2015. Eds. Muttarak, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0627-4451 & Jiang, L. , pp. 221-240 Vienna, Austria: Verlag der Oesterreichischen Akademie der Wissenschaften. ISBN 13: 978-3-7001-8007-4 document_url: https://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/eprint/13823/1/Future%20differential%20vulnerability%20to%20natural%20disasters%20by%20level%20of%20education.pdf