eprintid: 13824 rev_number: 11 eprint_status: archive userid: 353 dir: disk0/00/01/38/24 datestamp: 2016-09-21 09:47:54 lastmod: 2023-08-05 05:01:12 status_changed: 2016-09-21 09:47:54 type: book_section metadata_visibility: show creators_name: Crespo Cuaresma, J. creators_name: Lutz, W. creators_id: 1838 creators_id: 1124 creators_orcid: 0000-0001-7975-8145 title: The demography of human development and climate change vulnerability: A projection exercise ispublished: pub divisions: prog_pop abstract: We propose a methodological framework aimed at obtaining projections of the Human Development Index (HDI) that can be used to assess the degree of vulnerability of future societies to extreme climatic events. By combining recent developments in the modeling and projection of population by age, sex, and educational attainment, our modeling set-up ensures that the different components of the HDI are projected using a self-contained, consistent modeling effort. We develop scenarios that correspond to the Shared Socioeconomic Pathways (SSPs) developed in the context of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC), and thus present a projection framework that can be used to expand the evaluation of the potential mitigation and adaptation challenges associated with climate change in general, and with vulnerability to natural disasters in particular. date: 2016-09-20 date_type: published publisher: Verlag der Oesterreichischen Akademie der Wissenschaften official_url: http://dx.doi.org/10.1553/populationyearbook2015s241 creators_browse_id: 58 creators_browse_id: 190 creators_browse_id: 213 creators_browse_id: 1985 full_text_status: public publication: Vienna Yearbook of Population Research volume: 1 place_of_pub: Vienna, Austria pagerange: 241-261 refereed: TRUE isbn: 13: 978-3-7001-8007-4 issn: 1728-4414 book_title: Vienna Yearbook of Population Research 2015 editors_name: Muttarak, R. editors_name: Jiang, L. editors_id: 1959 editors_id: AL0176 editors_orcid: 0000-0003-0627-4451 coversheets_dirty: FALSE fp7_project: no fp7_type: info:eu-repo/semantics/bookPart citation: Crespo Cuaresma, J. & Lutz, W. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7975-8145 (2016). The demography of human development and climate change vulnerability: A projection exercise. In: Vienna Yearbook of Population Research 2015. Eds. Muttarak, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0627-4451 & Jiang, L. , pp. 241-261 Vienna, Austria: Verlag der Oesterreichischen Akademie der Wissenschaften. ISBN 13: 978-3-7001-8007-4 document_url: https://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/eprint/13824/1/The%20demography%20of%20human%20development%20and%202%20climate%20change%20vulnerability.pdf