eprintid: 13841 rev_number: 14 eprint_status: archive userid: 353 dir: disk0/00/01/38/41 datestamp: 2016-09-27 14:16:26 lastmod: 2021-08-27 17:27:48 status_changed: 2016-09-27 14:16:26 type: article metadata_visibility: show creators_name: Nordström, E.-M. creators_name: Forsell, N. creators_name: Lundström, A. creators_name: Korosuo, A. creators_name: Bergh, J. creators_name: Havlik, P. creators_name: Kraxner, F. creators_name: Frank, S. creators_name: Fricko, O. creators_name: Lundmark, T. creators_name: Nordin, A. creators_id: 8653 creators_id: 1999 creators_id: 2056 creators_id: 1868 creators_id: 7904 creators_id: 1944 creators_id: 2004 creators_orcid: 0000-0001-5551-5085 creators_orcid: 0000-0001-5702-8547 creators_orcid: 0000-0002-6835-9883 title: Impacts of global climate change mitigation scenarios on forests and harvesting in Sweden ispublished: pub divisions: prog_ene divisions: prog_esm keywords: orest impact analysis, forest product demand, scenario analysis, Swedish National Forest Inventory (NFI), wood supply potential abstract: Under climate change, the importance of biomass resources is likely to increase and new approaches are needed to analyze future material and energy use of biomass globally and locally. Using Sweden as an example, we present an approach that combines global and national land-use and forest models to analyze impacts of climate change mitigation ambitions on forest management and harvesting in a specific country. National forest impact analyses in Sweden have traditionally focused on supply potential with little reference to international market developments. In this study, we use the global greenhouse gas concentration scenarios from the Intergovernmental Panel for Climate Change to estimate global biomass demand and assess potential implications on harvesting and biodiversity in Sweden. The results show that the short-term demand for wood is close to the full harvesting potential in Sweden in all scenarios. Under high bioenergy demand, harvest levels are projected to stay high over a longer time and particularly impact the harvest levels of pulpwood. The area of old forest in the managed landscape may decrease. This study highlights the importance of global scenarios when discussing national-level analysis and pinpoints trade-offs that policy making in Sweden may need to tackle in the near future. date: 2016-08-01 date_type: published publisher: NRC Research Press id_number: doi:10.1139/cjfr-2016-0122 creators_browse_id: 218 creators_browse_id: 93 creators_browse_id: 162 creators_browse_id: 119 creators_browse_id: 165 creators_browse_id: 94 creators_browse_id: 97 full_text_status: public publication: Canadian Journal of Forest Research volume: 46 number: 12 pagerange: 1427-1438 refereed: TRUE issn: 0045-5067 coversheets_dirty: FALSE fp7_project: no fp7_type: info:eu-repo/semantics/article citation: Nordström, E.-M. , Forsell, N. , Lundström, A., Korosuo, A. , Bergh, J., Havlik, P. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5551-5085 , Kraxner, F. , Frank, S. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5702-8547 , et al. (2016). Impacts of global climate change mitigation scenarios on forests and harvesting in Sweden. Canadian Journal of Forest Research 46 (12) 1427-1438. 10.1139/cjfr-2016-0122 . document_url: https://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/eprint/13841/1/Impacts%20of%20global%20climate%20change%20mitigation%20scenarios%20on%20forests%20and%20harvesting%20in%20Sweden.pdf