TY  - CONF
ID  - iiasa14002
UR  - http://purl.umn.edu/212624
A1  - van Dijk, M.
A1  - Gramberger, M.
A1  - Laborde, D.
A1  - Mandryk, M.
A1  - Shutes, L.
A1  - Stehfest, E.
A1  - Valin, H.
A1  - Zellmer, K.
Y1  - 2016///
N2  - To guide policymaking, decision makers require a good understanding of the long-term drivers of food security and their interactions. Scenario analysis is widely considered as the appropriate tool to assess complex and uncertain problems, such as food security. This paper describes the development process, storylines and drivers of four new global scenarios up to the year 2050 that are specifically designed for food security modelling. To ensure the relevance, credibility and legitimacy of the scenarios a highly participatory process is used, involving a diverse group of stakeholders. A novel approach is introduced to quantify a selection of key drivers that directly can be used as input in global integrated assessment models to assess the impact of aid, trade, agricultural and science policies on global food and nutrition security.
TI  - Scenarios to explore global food security up to 2050: Development process, storylines and quantification of drivers
SP  - 1
M2  - Milan, Italy
AV  - public
EP  - 24
T2  - International Association of Agricultural Economists 2015 Conference
ER  -