eprintid: 14002
rev_number: 13
eprint_status: archive
userid: 5
dir: disk0/00/01/40/02
datestamp: 2016-11-28 14:44:54
lastmod: 2021-08-27 17:28:06
status_changed: 2016-11-28 14:44:54
type: conference_item
metadata_visibility: show
item_issues_count: 1
creators_name: van Dijk, M.
creators_name: Gramberger, M.
creators_name: Laborde, D.
creators_name: Mandryk, M.
creators_name: Shutes, L.
creators_name: Stehfest, E.
creators_name: Valin, H.
creators_name: Zellmer, K.
creators_id: 2147
creators_id: 1923
creators_orcid: 0000-0002-0618-773X
title: Scenarios to explore global food security up to 2050: Development process, storylines and quantification of drivers
ispublished: pub
divisions: prog_esm
abstract: To guide policymaking, decision makers require a good understanding of the long-term drivers of food security and their interactions. Scenario analysis is widely considered as the appropriate tool to assess complex and uncertain problems, such as food security. This paper describes the development process, storylines and drivers of four new global scenarios up to the year 2050 that are specifically designed for food security modelling. To ensure the relevance, credibility and legitimacy of the scenarios a highly participatory process is used, involving a diverse group of stakeholders. A novel approach is introduced to quantify a selection of key drivers that directly can be used as input in global integrated assessment models to assess the impact of aid, trade, agricultural and science policies on global food and nutrition security.
date: 2016
date_type: published
official_url: http://purl.umn.edu/212624
creators_browse_id: 2911
creators_browse_id: 316
full_text_status: public
pres_type: paper
pagerange: 1-24
event_title: International Association of Agricultural Economists 2015 Conference
event_location: Milan, Italy
event_dates: 9-14 August 2015
event_type: conference
refereed: TRUE
coversheets_dirty: FALSE
fp7_type: info:eu-repo/semantics/conferenceObject
citation:   van Dijk, M. <https://pure.iiasa.ac.at/view/iiasa/2911.html>, Gramberger, M., Laborde, D., Mandryk, M., Shutes, L., Stehfest, E., Valin, H. <https://pure.iiasa.ac.at/view/iiasa/316.html> ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0618-773X <https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0618-773X>, & Zellmer, K.  (2016).  Scenarios to explore global food security up to 2050: Development process, storylines and quantification of drivers.   In: International Association of Agricultural Economists 2015 Conference, 9-14 August 2015, Milan, Italy.     
document_url: https://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/eprint/14002/1/Van%20Dijk-Scenarios%20to%20explore%20global%20food%20security%20up%20to%202050-1055.pdf