eprintid: 14261 rev_number: 7 eprint_status: archive userid: 5 dir: disk0/00/01/42/61 datestamp: 2017-01-17 09:22:39 lastmod: 2021-08-27 17:28:25 status_changed: 2017-01-17 09:22:39 type: book_section metadata_visibility: show item_issues_count: 2 creators_name: Winkler, R.L. creators_name: Murphy, A.H. creators_id: AL0421 creators_id: AL0279 title: On the Generalizability of Experimental Results ispublished: pub divisions: prog_enp abstract: The age-old question of the generalizability of the results of experiments that are conducted in artificial laboratory settings to more realistic inferential and decision-making situations is considered in this paper. Conservatism in probability revision provides an example of a result that (1) has received wide attention, including attention in terms of implications for real-world decision making, on the basis of experiments conducted in artificial settings and (2) is now apparently thought by many to be highly situational and not at all a ubiquitous phenomenon, in which case its implications for real-world decision making are not as extensive as originally claimed. In this paper we consider the questions of generalizations from the laboratory to the real world in some detail, both within the context of the experiments regarding conservatism and within a more general context. In addition, we discuss some of the difficulties inherent in experimentation in realistic settings, suggest possible procedures for avoiding or at least alleviating such difficulties, and make a plea for more realistic experiments date: 1974 date_type: published publisher: Springer id_number: 10.1007/978-94-010-2288-0_6 official_url: http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/978-94-010-2288-0_6 creators_browse_id: 2520 creators_browse_id: 2216 full_text_status: none series: Theory and Decision Library number: 8 place_of_pub: Netherlands pagerange: 103-126 refereed: TRUE isbn: 978-94-010-2288-0 book_title: The Concept of Probability in Psychological Experiments editors_name: Staël Von Holstein, C.-A.S. coversheets_dirty: FALSE fp7_type: info:eu-repo/semantics/bookPart citation: Winkler, R.L. & Murphy, A.H. (1974). On the Generalizability of Experimental Results. In: The Concept of Probability in Psychological Experiments. Eds. Staël Von Holstein, C.-A.S., pp. 103-126 Netherlands: Springer. ISBN 978-94-010-2288-0 10.1007/978-94-010-2288-0_6 .