?url_ver=Z39.88-2004&rft_val_fmt=info%3Aofi%2Ffmt%3Akev%3Amtx%3Adc&rft.relation=https%3A%2F%2Fpure.iiasa.ac.at%2Fid%2Feprint%2F14470%2F&rft.title=Narrowing+Uncertainty+of+Projections+of+the+Global+Economy-Climate+System+Dynamics+via+Mutually+Compatible+Integration+within+Multi-Model+Ensembles&rft.creator=Kovalevskiy%2C+D.&rft.creator=Shchiptsova%2C+A.&rft.creator=Rovenskaya%2C+E.&rft.creator=Hasselmann%2C+K.&rft.description=Any+model+used+to+derive+projections+of+future+climate+or+assess+its+impact+constitutes+a+particular+simplification+of+reality.+To+date%2C+no+model+building+process+can+guarantee+full+%E2%80%9Cobjectivity%E2%80%9D+in+the+choice+of+model+assumptions+and+parameterization.+In+this+connection%2C+researchers+have+introduced+a+number+of+stylized+integrated+assessment+models%2C+which+attempt+to+represent+the+full+time-dynamic+non-linear+causal+loop+between+accumulated+emissions%2C+economy+and+climate%2C+yet+in+a+aggregated%2C+simplified+fashion+to+enable+extensive+uncertainty+analysis+with+respect+to+both+structural+and+parametric+uncertainty.%0D%0A%0D%0AIn+this+work%2C+we+put+forward+a+simplified+system+dynamics+integrated+assessment+model+which+simulates+the+global+economic+growth%2C+corresponding+emissions%2C+global+warming+and+caused+by+its+secondary+effects+economic+losses.+While+generally+our+model+follows+the+same+logic+as+DICE+and+other+models+of+this+kind%2C+it+pays+more+attention+to+the+mechanism+of+the+emission+reduction.+Mitigation+is+assumed+to+be+done+through+the+allocation+of+a+certain+fraction+of+the+total+output+into+enhancing+carbon+and+energy+efficiency.+The+model+enables+exploring+effects+of+mitigation+scenarios+defined+via+carbon+tax.+We+explore+the+structural+sensitivity+by+examining+five+alternative+climate+sensitivity+functions+and+use+the+%22mutual+compatibility+integration%22+approach+to+synthesize+the+information+from+the+five+alternative+model+versions.&rft.publisher=WP-16-015&rft.date=2016-09&rft.type=Monograph&rft.type=NonPeerReviewed&rft.format=text&rft.language=en&rft.rights=cc_by&rft.identifier=https%3A%2F%2Fpure.iiasa.ac.at%2Fid%2Feprint%2F14470%2F1%2FWP-16-015.pdf&rft.identifier=++Kovalevskiy%2C+D.%2C+Shchiptsova%2C+A.+%3Chttps%3A%2F%2Fpure.iiasa.ac.at%2Fview%2Fiiasa%2F280.html%3E%2C+Rovenskaya%2C+E.+%3Chttps%3A%2F%2Fpure.iiasa.ac.at%2Fview%2Fiiasa%2F260.html%3E+ORCID%3A+https%3A%2F%2Forcid.org%2F0000-0002-2761-3443+%3Chttps%3A%2F%2Forcid.org%2F0000-0002-2761-3443%3E%2C+%26+Hasselmann%2C+K.++(2016).++Narrowing+Uncertainty+of+Projections+of+the+Global+Economy-Climate+System+Dynamics+via+Mutually+Compatible+Integration+within+Multi-Model+Ensembles.+++IIASA+Working+Paper.+IIASA%2C+Laxenburg%2C+Austria%3A+WP-16-015+++++