"14498","15","archive","353",,,"disk0/00/01/44/98","2017-03-24 07:53:28","2022-01-26 11:46:12","2017-03-24 07:53:28","article",,,"show","","","0",,,"Rockström","J.","","",,,"",,,,,"","","A roadmap for rapid decarbonization","pub","","","prog_ene",,,"Although the Paris Agreement's goals (1) are aligned with science (2) and can, in principle, be technically and economically achieved (3), alarming inconsistencies remain between science-based targets and national commitments. Despite progress during the 2016 Marrakech climate negotiations, long-term goals can be trumped by political short-termism. Following the Agreement, which became international law earlier than expected, several countries published mid-century decarbonization strategies, with more due soon. Model-based decarbonization assessments (4) and scenarios often struggle to capture transformative change and the dynamics associated with it: disruption, innovation, and nonlinear change in human behavior. For example, in just 2 years, China's coal use swung from 3.7% growth in 2013 to a decline of 3.7% in 2015 (5). To harness these dynamics and to calibrate for short-term realpolitik, we propose framing the decarbonization challenge in terms of a global decadal roadmap based on a simple heuristic—a “carbon law”—of halving gross anthropogenic carbon-dioxide (CO2) emissions every decade. Complemented by immediately instigated, scalable carbon removal and efforts to ramp down land-use CO2 emissions, this can lead to net-zero emissions around mid-century, a path necessary to limit warming to well below 2°C.","2017-03-24","published","American Association for the Advancement of Science (AAAS)","10.1126/science.aah3443",,,,,,"",,,,,"",,,,,"",,,,,"","",,"",,,,,,,"254","public",,,,"Science","355","6331",,"1269-1271",,,,,,,,,,,"TRUE",,"1095-9203",,,,,,"","","","",,"","The World in 2050 (TWI2050)",,,,,,,"",,,,,"FALSE","no",,"info:eu-repo/semantics/article",
"14498",,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,"Gaffney","O.","","",,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,"214",,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,
"14498",,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,"Rogelj","J.","","","8630","0000-0003-2056-9061",,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,
"14498",,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,"Meinshausen","M.","","",,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,
"14498",,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,"Nakicenovic","N.","","","395","0000-0001-7176-4604",,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,
"14498",,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,"Schellnhuber","H.J.","","",,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,