?url_ver=Z39.88-2004&rft_val_fmt=info%3Aofi%2Ffmt%3Akev%3Amtx%3Adc&rft.relation=https%3A%2F%2Fpure.iiasa.ac.at%2Fid%2Feprint%2F14535%2F&rft.title=Demographic+change+and+the+drivers+of+future+migration+into+Europe.+Approach%2C+methodology+and+work+plan+of+the+JRC%2FIIASA+Centre+of+Expertise+on+Population+and+Migration&rft.creator=Lutz%2C+W.&rft.creator=Belanger%2C+A.&rft.description=This+document+describes+the+research+approach%2C+methodology+and+work+plan+of+the+Centre+of+Expertise+on+Population+and+Migration+that+was+established+in+2016+as+a+collaboration+been+IIASA+(International+Institute+for+Applied+Systems+Analysis)+and+JRC+(Joint+Research+Centre+of+the+European+Commission).+This+collaboration+is+scheduled+for+three+years+and+each+side+provides+the+funding+of+five+post-doctoral+researchers.+Team+members+will+be+jointly+supervised+and+be+stationed+in+Ispra+and+at+IIASA+with+strong+interactions.+%0D%0AThe+new+Centre+will+take+a+multi-dimensional+demographic+approach+to+assess+the+consequences+of+alternative+future+population+and+migration+trends+in+Europe+as+well+as+in+the+main+regions+of+origin+for+migration+into+Europe.+The+Centre+will+study+push+and+pull+factors%2C+different+kinds+of+migration+streams+as+well+as+the+impact+of+migration+flows+for+Europe+in+terms+of+population+aging+and+the+productivity+of+Europe%E2%80%99s+labor+force+over+the+coming+decades.+This+will+be+done+in+terms+of+macro-level+modelling+including+population+scenarios+by+age%2C+sex%2C+level+of+education+and+labor+force+participation+for+all+EU+member+states+as+well+as+micro-simulation+models+with+more+characteristics+in+order+to+study+the+integration+of+migrants.+Scenarios+by+age%2C+sex+and+level+of+education+will+also+be+done+for+potential+sending+countries+in+Africa%2C+Asia+and+Eastern+Europe+and+combined+with+aspects+of+socio-economic+and+environmental+change+following+the+narratives+of+the+SSPs+(Shared+Socioeconomic+Pathways)+to+assess+possible+future+push+factors.+Special+attention+is+given+to+the+possible+impacts+of+climate+change+on+migration.+%0D%0AThe+main+output+documents+will+be+a+set+of+updated+population+scenarios+by+age%2C+sex+and+level+of+education+following+the+approach+of+the+OUP+volume+%E2%80%9CWorld+Population+and+4uman+Capital+in+the+21st+Century%E2%80%9D+(Lutz+et+al.+2014)+to+be+produced+by+the+end+of+2017+and+a+scientific+book+with+the+main+conclusion+concerning+alternative+migration+and+integration+scenarios+to+be+finalized+in+late+2018+to+serve+as+input+for+the+policy+planning+of+the+new+incoming+European+Commission.+In+addition+the+publication+of+a+number+of+peer-reviewed+scientific+journal+articles+is+foreseen.&rft.publisher=IIASA&rft.date=2017-03&rft.type=Monograph&rft.type=NonPeerReviewed&rft.format=text&rft.language=en&rft.rights=cc_by&rft.identifier=https%3A%2F%2Fpure.iiasa.ac.at%2Fid%2Feprint%2F14535%2F1%2FDemographic%2520change%2520and%2520the%2520drivers%2520of%2520future%2520migration%2520into%2520Europe_final_logo%2520updated.pdf&rft.identifier=++Lutz%2C+W.+%3Chttps%3A%2F%2Fpure.iiasa.ac.at%2Fview%2Fiiasa%2F190.html%3E+ORCID%3A+https%3A%2F%2Forcid.org%2F0000-0001-7975-8145+%3Chttps%3A%2F%2Forcid.org%2F0000-0001-7975-8145%3E+%26+Belanger%2C+A.+%3Chttps%3A%2F%2Fpure.iiasa.ac.at%2Fview%2Fiiasa%2F2883.html%3E++(2017).++Demographic+change+and+the+drivers+of+future+migration+into+Europe.+Approach%2C+methodology+and+work+plan+of+the+JRC%2FIIASA+Centre+of+Expertise+on+Population+and+Migration.+++IIASA+Report.+Laxenburg%2C+Austria%3A+IIASA+++++