?url_ver=Z39.88-2004&rft_val_fmt=info%3Aofi%2Ffmt%3Akev%3Amtx%3Adc&rft.relation=https%3A%2F%2Fpure.iiasa.ac.at%2Fid%2Feprint%2F4507%2F&rft.title=Decision-Analysis+under+Extreme+Uncertainties-+Evaluating+Unusual+Weathers+Caused+by+Global+Warming&rft.creator=Tamura%2C+H.&rft.creator=Kitamura%2C+H.&rft.creator=Hatono%2C+I.&rft.creator=Umano%2C+M.&rft.description=In+this+paper+we+propose+a+new+methodology+of+decision+analysis+under+extreme+uncertainties+which+could+analyze+the+preference+of+various+type+of+persons+from+pessimistic+ones+to+optimistic+ones.+For+this+purpose+we+revise+a+previous+axiom+of+dominance+for+constructing+a+measurable+value+function+(utility+function)+under+uncertainty+based+on+Dempster-Shafer+theory+of+probability.+The+previous+axiom+of+dominance+has+dealt+with+only+the+best+and+the+worst+results+in+the+set+element.+Here%2C+we+propose+a+new+axiom+of+dominance+after+defining+the+value+of+the+set+element+taking+into+account+the+average+of+the+value+of+all+the+results+included+in+the+set+element.+It+is+shown+that+we+can+construct+a+measurable+value+function+under+uncertainty+for+a+pessimistic%2C+an+ordinary+or+an+optimistic+person%2C+based+on+this+new+axiom+of+dominance.+An+example+of+evaluating+the+alternative+policies+to+decrease+the+emission+of+carbon+dioxide+for+avoiding+global+warming+is+included.&rft.publisher=WP-95-089&rft.date=1995-08&rft.type=Monograph&rft.type=NonPeerReviewed&rft.format=text&rft.language=en&rft.identifier=https%3A%2F%2Fpure.iiasa.ac.at%2Fid%2Feprint%2F4507%2F1%2FWP-95-089.pdf&rft.identifier=++Tamura%2C+H.+%3Chttps%3A%2F%2Fpure.iiasa.ac.at%2Fview%2Fiiasa%2F1607.html%3E%2C+Kitamura%2C+H.%2C+Hatono%2C+I.%2C+%26+Umano%2C+M.++(1995).++Decision-Analysis+under+Extreme+Uncertainties-+Evaluating+Unusual+Weathers+Caused+by+Global+Warming.+++IIASA+Working+Paper.+IIASA%2C+Laxenburg%2C+Austria%3A+WP-95-089+++++