eprintid: 4514 rev_number: 22 eprint_status: archive userid: 351 dir: disk0/00/00/45/14 datestamp: 2016-01-15 02:06:03 lastmod: 2021-08-27 17:15:15 status_changed: 2016-01-15 02:06:03 type: monograph metadata_visibility: show item_issues_count: 2 creators_name: Grubler, A. creators_id: 1115 creators_orcid: 0000-0002-7814-4990 title: Time for a Change: Rates of Diffusion of Ideas, Technologies, and Social Behaviors ispublished: pub internal_subjects: iis_ecn internal_subjects: iis_env internal_subjects: iis_mnt internal_subjects: iis_sys divisions: prog_ecs abstract: Diffusion phenomena are identified to be at the heart of processes of technological, economic and social change. Patterns, regularities and timing of diffusion processes are illustrated on basis of selected examples. A metaanalysis of a larger sample of diffusion processes for the USA identifies rates of change and their historical discontinuities. The paper concludes in emphasizing the interlinkages within whole families of technologies and forms of social techniques (technology clusters). Historically, these have been instrumental in raising productivity and also alleviating many adverse environmental impacts. The emergence of a new cluster could hold promise for an environmentally more compatible technological trajectory leading to further dematerialization and decarbonization of our economies. date: 1995-08 date_type: published publisher: WP-95-082 iiasapubid: WP-95-082 price: 10 creators_browse_id: 112 full_text_status: public monograph_type: working_paper place_of_pub: IIASA, Laxenburg, Austria pages: 41 coversheets_dirty: FALSE fp7_type: info:eu-repo/semantics/book citation: Grubler, A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7814-4990 (1995). Time for a Change: Rates of Diffusion of Ideas, Technologies, and Social Behaviors. IIASA Working Paper. IIASA, Laxenburg, Austria: WP-95-082 document_url: https://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/eprint/4514/1/WP-95-082.pdf