?url_ver=Z39.88-2004&rft_val_fmt=info%3Aofi%2Ffmt%3Akev%3Amtx%3Adc&rft.relation=https%3A%2F%2Fpure.iiasa.ac.at%2Fid%2Feprint%2F4766%2F&rft.title=Future+Population+and+Education+Trends+in+the+Countries+of+North+Africa&rft.creator=Yousif%2C+H.M.&rft.creator=Goujon%2C+A.&rft.creator=Lutz%2C+W.&rft.description=The+report+provides+a+concise+and+comprehensive+review+of+available+data+on+past+demographic+trends+in+the+region+and+combines+this+analysis+with+expert+opinion+on+alternative+future+demographic+trends+(as+described+in+Lutz%2C+1996)+to+calculate+likely+ranges+of+future+population+growth.+%0D%0A%0D%0AA+very+important+and+innovative+feature+of+this+study+is+that+it+explicitly+includes+the+educational+status+of+the+population+in+its+projections.+This+is+done+by+multistate+population+projections%2C+a+method+that+largely+originated+at+IIASA.+Educational+projections+are+an+important+task+in+themselves+because+education%2C+as+the+major+component+of+human+capital%2C+is+a+key+factor+in+national+development+and+in+society's+ability+to+cope+with+arising+problems.+But+the+projection+of+education+is+also+particularly+suitable+for+the+demographic+cohort-component+method+because+it+is+the+past+and+the+present+school+enrollment+of+the+young+cohorts+that+largely+determines+the+future+educational+composition+of+the+population.+It+turns+out+that%2C+due+to+the+large+educational+fertility+differentials+and+the+inter-cohort+differences+in+education+in+the+countries+of+North+Africa%2C+an+explicit+inclusion+of+education+makes+population+projections+more+accurate.+%0D%0A%0D%0AThe+study+is+not+only+relevant+for+the+North+African+region+and+its+neighbors%3B+it+also+demonstrates+that+in+general+it+is+feasible+and+very+useful+to+explicitly+include+education+in+population+projections.&rft.publisher=RR-96-011&rft.date=1996-09&rft.type=Monograph&rft.type=PeerReviewed&rft.format=text&rft.language=en&rft.identifier=https%3A%2F%2Fpure.iiasa.ac.at%2Fid%2Feprint%2F4766%2F1%2FRR-96-011.pdf&rft.identifier=++Yousif%2C+H.M.+%3Chttps%3A%2F%2Fpure.iiasa.ac.at%2Fview%2Fiiasa%2F1674.html%3E+ORCID%3A+https%3A%2F%2Forcid.org%2F0000-0001-8071-1395+%3Chttps%3A%2F%2Forcid.org%2F0000-0001-8071-1395%3E%2C+Goujon%2C+A.+%3Chttps%3A%2F%2Fpure.iiasa.ac.at%2Fview%2Fiiasa%2F110.html%3E+ORCID%3A+https%3A%2F%2Forcid.org%2F0000-0003-4125-6857+%3Chttps%3A%2F%2Forcid.org%2F0000-0003-4125-6857%3E%2C+%26+Lutz%2C+W.+%3Chttps%3A%2F%2Fpure.iiasa.ac.at%2Fview%2Fiiasa%2F190.html%3E+ORCID%3A+https%3A%2F%2Forcid.org%2F0000-0001-7975-8145+%3Chttps%3A%2F%2Forcid.org%2F0000-0001-7975-8145%3E++(1996).++Future+Population+and+Education+Trends+in+the+Countries+of+North+Africa.+++IIASA+Research+Report.+IIASA%2C+Laxenburg%2C+Austria%3A+RR-96-011+++++