eprintid: 4766 rev_number: 17 eprint_status: archive userid: 351 dir: disk0/00/00/47/66 datestamp: 2016-01-15 02:07:08 lastmod: 2023-08-05 05:00:25 status_changed: 2016-01-15 02:07:08 type: monograph metadata_visibility: show item_issues_count: 2 creators_name: Yousif, H.M. creators_name: Goujon, A. creators_name: Lutz, W. creators_id: 1590 creators_id: 1569 creators_id: 1124 creators_orcid: 0000-0001-8071-1395 creators_orcid: 0000-0003-4125-6857 creators_orcid: 0000-0001-7975-8145 title: Future Population and Education Trends in the Countries of North Africa ispublished: pub internal_subjects: iis_pop divisions: prog_pop abstract: The report provides a concise and comprehensive review of available data on past demographic trends in the region and combines this analysis with expert opinion on alternative future demographic trends (as described in Lutz, 1996) to calculate likely ranges of future population growth. A very important and innovative feature of this study is that it explicitly includes the educational status of the population in its projections. This is done by multistate population projections, a method that largely originated at IIASA. Educational projections are an important task in themselves because education, as the major component of human capital, is a key factor in national development and in society's ability to cope with arising problems. But the projection of education is also particularly suitable for the demographic cohort-component method because it is the past and the present school enrollment of the young cohorts that largely determines the future educational composition of the population. It turns out that, due to the large educational fertility differentials and the inter-cohort differences in education in the countries of North Africa, an explicit inclusion of education makes population projections more accurate. The study is not only relevant for the North African region and its neighbors; it also demonstrates that in general it is feasible and very useful to explicitly include education in population projections. date: 1996-09 date_type: published publisher: RR-96-011 iiasapubid: RR-96-011 price: 12 creators_browse_id: 1674 creators_browse_id: 110 creators_browse_id: 190 full_text_status: public monograph_type: research_report place_of_pub: IIASA, Laxenburg, Austria pages: 96 refereed: TRUE coversheets_dirty: FALSE fp7_type: info:eu-repo/semantics/book citation: Yousif, H.M. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8071-1395 , Goujon, A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4125-6857 , & Lutz, W. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7975-8145 (1996). Future Population and Education Trends in the Countries of North Africa. IIASA Research Report. IIASA, Laxenburg, Austria: RR-96-011 document_url: https://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/eprint/4766/1/RR-96-011.pdf